TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd479…1920

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20269.3%140 W · 62 L+16.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$12.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$35.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$14.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$8.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65%+$16.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$15.21
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$11.42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$14.1
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$8.95
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$7.71
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.92
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$29.73
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$17.01
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.