NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd343b2f246e33cfc1acfe4812958e4f19486dcb74e82889ba585408d06470ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,023,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,486,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,023,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 39c | 517,508$200,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316,575.06 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 64c | 296,198$189,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,566.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs | 64c | 237,378$151,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,921.83 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 229,167$82,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,666.67 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Timberwolves | 35c | 217,819$76,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,582.56 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Spurs | 64c | 200,000$128,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,999.73 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Timberwolves | 35c | 192,136$67,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,567.22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Spurs | 62c | 165,966$102,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,078.27 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 44c | 141,421$61,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,587.08 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 21c | 129,678$27,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,487.76 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 52c | 120,698$62,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,160.24 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Spurs | 1c | 114,292$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.92 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Spurs | 64c | 100,200$64,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,329.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs | 27c | 99,408$27,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,124.99 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 39c | 94,764$36,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,941.32 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked Timberwolves | 44c | 91,890$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,889.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Spurs | 54c | 91,535$49,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,065.83 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs | 52c | 89,069$46,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,092.27 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 81,000$40,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,639.98 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 54c | 77,820$41,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,977.69 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Spurs | 28c | 77,050$21,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,192.98 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Timberwolves | 75c | 75,000$56,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,750 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Timberwolves | 36c | 65,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,600 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves | 41c | 61,507$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,506.86 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Spurs | 35c | 57,909$20,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,064.87 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 37c | 54,518$20,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,230.25 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Spurs | 45c | 52,887$23,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,943.64 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Timberwolves | 36c | 52,628$18,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,656.55 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 46c | 49,776$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 46c | 47,764$21,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,939.98 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Timberwolves | 36c | 45,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,800 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 44c | 43,920$19,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,174.13 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 43,034$15,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,477.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 42,987$17,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,687.44 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 59c | 39,445$23,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,429.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Timberwolves | 43c | 38,000$16,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,807.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 51c | 35,397$18,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,307.66 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 48c | 32,814$15,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,666.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Timberwolves | 78c | 31,673$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 63c | 31,299$19,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,731.56 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…ee2cbacked Spurs | 65c | 30,393$19,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,755.2 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…09e5backed Spurs | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.75 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 29,918$16,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,083.23 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 29,580$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,980.3 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Spurs | 64c | 28,550$18,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,194.52 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 31c | 26,590$8,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,315.66 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 59c | 26,500$15,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,574.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 26,499$18,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,026.64 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Spurs | 69c | 25,790$17,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,731.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 24,722$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,822.22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Timberwolves | 35c | 23,500$8,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,289.99 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spurs | 65c | 21,987$14,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,291.24 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Timberwolves | 37c | 20,144$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,643.53 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Timberwolves | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Timberwolves | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.95 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 39c | 19,356$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,593.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Timberwolves | 49c | 17,990$8,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,174.4 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Spurs | 2c | 17,954$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.41 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Spurs | 54c | 17,802$9,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,613.81 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 64c | 17,000$10,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,930 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 16,667$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,666.67 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 36c | 16,601$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Spurs | 33c | 16,126$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.47 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 38c | 15,914$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,813.85 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 47c | 15,893$7,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,412.11 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 54c | 15,675$8,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,518.99 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Spurs | 33c | 15,128$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Timberwolves | 52c | 15,083$7,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,310.93 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 48c | 14,993$7,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.31 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Timberwolves | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 59c | 13,652$8,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.84 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Spurs | 43c | 13,325$5,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.83 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Spurs | 38c | 13,133$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.5 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Timberwolves | 35c | 12,417$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,046.7 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 36c | 12,344$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900.16 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 34c | 11,512$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.06 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 42c | 11,512$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.2 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 11,493$7,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.3 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs | 64c | 11,124$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,157.14 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 10,687$7,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.73 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Timberwolves | 59c | 10,686$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.68 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed Spurs | 65c | 10,604$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Timberwolves | 36c | 10,128$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 65c | 10,077$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Timberwolves | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spurs | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Timberwolves | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Spurs | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Spurs | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Spurs | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.99 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 34c | 10,000$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.99 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 10,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…7d45backed Spurs | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Spurs | 43c | 9,931$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.13 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…4c35backed Spurs | 65c | 9,899$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…ae10backed Spurs | 41c | 9,835$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Timberwolves | 35c | 9,434$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.56 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Spurs | 29c | 9,190$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.67 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.