NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x227a9e44c4a49b119c97352df5138b97ef1c191209c393bf3417f086555c924d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,365,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,468,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,365,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 300,000$141,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,999.96 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 46c | 260,973$120,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,821.79 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 52c | 218,384$114,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,253.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 53c | 204,677$108,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,478.83 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 53c | 122,632$64,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,995.17 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Spurs | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 94,444$45,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,610.86 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Spurs | 52c | 86,615$45,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,039.78 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 79,334$37,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,706.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…0565backed Spurs | 2c | 51,397$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.9 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Timberwolves | 47c | 33,295$15,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,794.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 54c | 27,778$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 24,154$11,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,809.15 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 54c | 21,397$11,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,554.44 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 54c | 21,000$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,340 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Spurs | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 15,745$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,344.68 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 13,624$6,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,948.03 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 13,175$6,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.71 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 54c | 11,203$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.68 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 40c | 10,540$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 53c | 10,189$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Spurs | 52c | 10,047$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Timberwolves | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Spurs | 59c | 8,523$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,510$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.1 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Spurs | 54c | 8,148$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,055$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.93 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Spurs | 51c | 7,872$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.22 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,049$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.03 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Spurs | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 6,596$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.74 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 36c | 6,550$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.69 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 54c | 6,515$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.09 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,728$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,612$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.24 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 54c | 5,578$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,536$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.36 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,357$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.14 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,990$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,620$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.59 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 4,370$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.47 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Spurs | 53c | 4,151$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 43c | 4,116$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,065$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,020$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…ede2backed Spurs | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,672$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 54c | 3,535$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.05 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 3,508$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.19 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Spurs | 54c | 3,463$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.03 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,391$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.4 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Timberwolves | 56c | 3,036$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.68 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,000$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.65 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.96 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,868$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.09 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.84 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,680$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.4 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 2,633$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 2,587$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 56c | 2,562$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.05 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,378$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.56 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 39c | 2,178$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.37 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 49c | 2,176$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.99 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,129$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.42 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…5f84backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 53c | 2,097$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.23 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 41c | 2,089$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.27 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 1,956$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.37 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,870$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.35 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,841$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Spurs | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.75 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Spurs | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Spurs | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Spurs | 54c | 1,550$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.76 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…7310backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,435$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,435$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Spurs | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,354$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.52 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,304$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.23 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…68f3backed Spurs | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,256$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.41 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Spurs | 25c | 1,194$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,174$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.3 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Spurs | 54c | 1,161$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.73 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Spurs | 17c | 1,106$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.