NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf11c8372ddf98fc0651f69b67a1016cb1ee35bdd16deba882af7931ae6b6a1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 48c | 41,667$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 52c | 28,923$15,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,883.27 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.98 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 10,197$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.97 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 9,386$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 53c | 8,520$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.4 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…6201backed Under | 47c | 8,100$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.38 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 4,600$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.84 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 3,845$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 50c | 3,276$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 59c | 2,979$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.38 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 2,926$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.31 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 2,642$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.1 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 54c | 1,873$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.5 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,680$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 1,565$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.1 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 1,515$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 1,429$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.53 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 1,339$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.04 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 1,240$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.11 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 1,231$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 1,225$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.19 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 57c | 1,219$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.46 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 1,202$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.37 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 47c | 1,152$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.44 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Over | 60c | 1,050$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 44c | 904.78$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 55c | 898.18$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 48c | 889.35$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.89 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Under | 48c | 889.35$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.89 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 4c | 759.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 44c | 724.4$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 56c | 721.15$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over | 71c | 705.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…180abacked Over | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…8210backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Under | 51c | 588.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 47c | 525$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 54c | 461.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 56c | 445.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 56c | 438.36$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 368.37$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 333.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 296.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 58c | 285.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Under | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 11c | 275$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Over | 70c | 257.36$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Over | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 214.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 56c | 201.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…94bcbacked Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 64c | 193.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 50c | 189$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 68c | 186.57$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 180.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 57c | 179.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 30c | 156.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Over | 53c | 151.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 57c | 151.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 147.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390e…49cdbacked Over | 62c | 142.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Over | 64c | 142.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 130.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 70c | 128.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 53c | 109.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 47c | 106.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 44c | 101.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…7b79backed Under | 47c | 101.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 57c | 100.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 55c | 98.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 48c | 95.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 52c | 93.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 62c | 90.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 41c | 85.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.