NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc08fcbc2b39d3bc3bf011e54e4c89440d45a8d80a3e1e31ebc8a3749606f0675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,522,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,557,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,522,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 49c | 395,242$193,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,668.76 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 326,574$166,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,021.25 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 49c | 260,459$127,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,624.82 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Timberwolves | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 50c | 196,690$98,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,344.89 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 50c | 138,479$69,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,124.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Timberwolves | 51c | 101,000$51,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,499.99 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Timberwolves | 52c | 78,058$40,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,467.84 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Spurs | 49c | 61,224$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 50c | 59,922$30,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,761.11 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…0565backed Spurs | 2c | 51,633$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 48c | 50,677$24,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,324.86 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Timberwolves | 51c | 38,275$19,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,754.75 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 23,700$12,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,613 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 22,000$11,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,439.98 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Spurs | 31c | 18,000$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 45c | 17,807$8,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,057.01 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 17,357$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,595.63 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 61c | 17,168$10,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.73 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 49c | 15,500$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.97 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 48c | 15,238$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Spurs | 49c | 13,216$6,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475.74 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…1635backed Spurs | 49c | 10,778$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 50c | 10,703$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.51 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…5ea8backed Spurs | 48c | 10,160$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…1c45backed Spurs | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Spurs | 49c | 9,565$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Spurs | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.84 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spurs | 21c | 8,861$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.63 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 50c | 7,018$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.89 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 6,443$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Spurs | 53c | 6,328$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.3 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spurs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 53c | 5,881$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 49c | 5,392$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs | 50c | 5,369$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.33 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,674$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.03 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 66c | 4,512$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Spurs | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 27c | 3,291$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.52 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,091$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.54 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs | 49c | 3,036$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.51 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Spurs | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Spurs | 50c | 2,971$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.69 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,841$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Timberwolves | 76c | 2,600$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,588$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Spurs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Spurs | 49c | 2,463$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.61 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 44c | 2,447$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.41 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 2,293$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.4 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,276$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.47 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,073$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.62 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…b442backed Spurs | 50c | 2,070$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs | 48c | 2,069$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 2,044$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,042$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 41c | 2,012$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.92 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,000$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spurs | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Spurs | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,913$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.11 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,863$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,842$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.67 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,796$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.28 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,796$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.76 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Spurs | 50c | 1,543$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.43 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 35c | 1,533$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.11 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 49c | 1,465$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.18 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Spurs | 50c | 1,464$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.92 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaa…1721backed Spurs | 50c | 1,372$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Timberwolves | 59c | 1,345$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.21 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Timberwolves | 59c | 1,341$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.39 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Spurs | 50c | 1,336$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.94 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,264$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.6 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Spurs | 57c | 1,255$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Spurs | 28c | 1,241$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Spurs | 49c | 1,213$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…d9f9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,206$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 13c | 1,106$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,065$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.38 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.