NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8dfad8543d21a04f0602a64ab4d443348b30f4c7cc1245bb5f2d05468a76d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 12,079$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,411.93 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 44c | 10,316$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.72 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 10,060$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.48 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Over | 58c | 7,725$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.08 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 4,721$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 46c | 2,998$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.1 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 2,947$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Over | 52c | 2,333$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Under | 45c | 1,946$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 48c | 1,895$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.57 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 1,685$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 1,591$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 56c | 1,499$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.37 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 55c | 1,384$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.72 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over | 71c | 1,218$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.43 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.06 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 46c | 1,113$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Over | 64c | 1,100$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 43c | 1,092$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.63 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 59c | 1,086$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.13 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Under | 43c | 923.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 50c | 892.06$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.59 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 870.33$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 45c | 799.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 780.8$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 62c | 725.73$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 57c | 707$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.8 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 701.81$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.81 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 59c | 678.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 44c | 677.94$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.29 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 660$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 656.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 641.86$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Over | 63c | 633.62$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 55c | 542.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 56c | 531.4$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Over | 70c | 500.26$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Over | 56c | 499.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 30c | 481.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 478.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.57 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Over | 63c | 460.32$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 15c | 453.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 45c | 430.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 62c | 425.46$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 54c | 417.45$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 59c | 400$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Over | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 76c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 50c | 390.64$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 56c | 358.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Over | 55c | 353.45$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…bc09backed Over | 61c | 350.52$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Under | 40c | 318.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 55c | 316.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 56c | 312.92$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 63c | 308.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Over | 67c | 297.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 267.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 46c | 267.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 56c | 256.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 57c | 248.86$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Under | 38c | 241$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 220.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 66c | 218.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 64c | 209.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 29c | 205.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Over | 50c | 198.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 61c | 193$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 56c | 190.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 49c | 189.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 55c | 179.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Over | 55c | 178.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a23…442cbacked Over | 71c | 174.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 57c | 172.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…64c5backed Under | 43c | 162.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Over | 61c | 161.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Over | 62c | 158$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…d2b6backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 146.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 73c | 145.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 43c | 144.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 43c | 144.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Over | 72c | 135.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 47c | 133.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 129.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 57c | 127.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.