NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a4e708822037b5d4b33b5be735a4245895363da465aaa47fec68d12c567516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $664,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $751,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 50c | 230,155$115,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,107.65 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 50c | 62,000$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,199.98 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 44,974$22,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,468.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 50c | 28,528$14,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,264 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 26,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 50c | 23,704$11,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,852.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 23,350$11,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,675 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 19,830$10,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,052.54 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 16,435$8,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,706.02 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 14,986$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,485.82 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 11,860$5,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 50c | 11,572$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,786 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 10,866$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 50c | 10,307$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.75 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 9,482$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…6201backed Under | 50c | 8,524$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec8…d2e2backed Under | 49c | 8,212$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…077fbacked Under | 49c | 7,637$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 51c | 6,999$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.51 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 6,829$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.33 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 50c | 6,554$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.08 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 48c | 5,913$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.06 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 50c | 5,621$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.5 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.1 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 4,368$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.39 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 50c | 4,180$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 4,161$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 50c | 3,860$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 50c | 3,592$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 3,134$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.14 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 50c | 3,107$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.94 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Over | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 50c | 2,982$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 2,894$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.16 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 71c | 2,674$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Under | 30c | 2,433$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.09 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed Under | 50c | 2,263$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 29c | 2,195$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.6 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…7310backed Under | 50c | 2,180$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…13a1backed Under | 50c | 2,180$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 2,168$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.14 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…3a25backed Over | 50c | 1,910$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 49c | 1,475$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.8 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked Under | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…f3c5backed Under | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 51c | 1,300$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.89 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…9ca2backed Over | 51c | 1,276$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 52c | 1,200$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 50c | 1,175$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.99 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 1,156$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.43 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 1,123$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.73 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 29c | 1,111$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 51c | 1,068$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.32 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.84 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 50c | 990.48$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.24 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…6437backed Under | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 933.08$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.86 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 868.17$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 41c | 858.04$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.98 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 792.43$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.22 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 27c | 766$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…7931backed Over | 51c | 754.9$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Under | 49c | 751.19$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 50c | 746$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Under | 50c | 719.8$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 45c | 711.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.86 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 669.27$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.29 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 60c | 664.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 47c | 622.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.1 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 47c | 620.87$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.06 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 600$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.