TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb75c…b6d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athens Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$216
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.42
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,209.98
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.92
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Xinyu Wang vs Alexandra Ealabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$211.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Jan Choinskibacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercogbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.61
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.41
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaevabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$16.32
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$217.1
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.79
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$831.98
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$932.95
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.18
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,959.33
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$632.71
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,674Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,026
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$2,060
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$164.5
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,805Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$539.11
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,036.37
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$541
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$178.26
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$53.44
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$457.47
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,149.95
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$144
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$410.39
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$325
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$72.53
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.7
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.43
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.07
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$57.43
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$175.79
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$60.11
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.66
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$574.99
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$121.05
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$309.99
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.34
Shanxi Loongs vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.57
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.57
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$71.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.