TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c79,130$12,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,692.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes16c47,405$7,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,584.8156410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes16c14,599$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.8438817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes16c13,101$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.2335514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes16c12,075$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.9511421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes16c10,995$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.998735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes16c7,054$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.622114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes16c6,499$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.8833235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes15c4,688$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.232,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9911616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes16c3,950$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6326729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes16c3,100$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.998826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes16c2,430$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.81,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes16c2,188$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes16c2,047$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0332642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes16c1,813$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes16c1,790$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3416342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes1c1,718$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes17c1,364$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes1c1,311$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Yes16c1,281$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes16c1,213$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes16c1,187$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9238817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes17c1,177$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes16c1,044$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1679341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1463…b1bdbacked Yes16c1,020$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012829.7%38 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes16c781.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes16c682.38$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1845932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Yes16c650$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420654.4%112 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes16c643$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8834751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes16c637.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes16c630.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.836243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes16c625.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.778610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004916.3%8 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6452…616dbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006051.7%31 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3944…bd50backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011732.5%38 W · 79 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…0598backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009426.6%25 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b2…7f60backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5844…035abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016533.9%56 W · 109 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0918…7363backed Yes14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846030%18 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75c…b6d3backed Yes17c598.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes16c593.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9524616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes17c585.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes16c561.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8612727.6%35 W · 92 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes18c551.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.29619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bb…8e9abacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x787b…652bbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes15c474.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9835719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes16c468.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes16c431.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1136627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Yes16c406.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654012.5%5 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes16c384.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.627816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes16c376.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.313610.3%14 W · 122 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017930.7%55 W · 124 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc97…6ea7backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605414.8%8 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…f702backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010722.4%24 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11f…6920backed Yes16c369.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.061513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes17c366$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2227744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5219…a15bbacked Yes16c364.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe197…2ce7backed Yes16c359.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.468625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes16c353.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.518723.5%44 W · 143 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes16c350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1be…76eebacked Yes16c350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566429.7%19 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes16c343.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512733.9%43 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ad…d9e3backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506216.1%10 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012313.8%17 W · 106 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes15c331.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1233510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…f4f7backed Yes15c329.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes15c322.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012226.2%32 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.