TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$819,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$789,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $819,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c138,374$14,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,505.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes9c53,482$4,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,674.3811421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes9c49,311$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.692,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c25,507$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes10c23,644$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes19c10,697$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes9c9,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes8c8,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes8c5,906$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes8c5,585$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45125124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes5c4,839$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2346012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes19c4,017$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.0329018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes8c3,964$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.122,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes9c3,889$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7c…6392backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes8c3,250$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260639.5%6 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes12c3,159$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.0512117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes9c3,158$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2135514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes9c3,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes10c2,723$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.527433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes11c2,653$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes9c2,623$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes9c2,521$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.899324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes9c2,508$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7252522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes7c2,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Yes8c2,099$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.924221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes10c2,075$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9938817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes9c2,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16027811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes11c1,920$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20620532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes10c1,732$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4417211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes10c1,548$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.951,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae02…21e8backed Yes15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes9c1,452$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c94…c2f8backed Yes10c1,340$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x484a…316abacked Yes18c1,278$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.976636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…f186backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes19c1,245$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24014030%42 W · 98 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f46…ca8bbacked Yes13c1,208$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.64621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…1489backed Yes8c1,188$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes16c1,146$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.173724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes15c1,122$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0951032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes9c1,120$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.815226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes10c1,114$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.56243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7477…e718backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008431%26 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes9c1,067$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes10c959.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2236627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…2b31backed Yes11c894.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes10c887.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x441b…b884backed Yes10c883.32$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.111838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes8c842.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4111218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007229.2%21 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7afb…61eabacked Yes9c799.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7212048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes8c794.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.633510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes14c773.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3120234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874a…b381backed Yes9c687.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.95819%11 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes8c687.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes12c682.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.422931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes3c674.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.832,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes10c673.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f42…6fcbbacked Yes9c666.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607516%12 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae68…de08backed Yes9c666.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012416.1%20 W · 104 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…499fbacked Yes16c657.31$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.171915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc38c…ef7fbacked Yes16c625.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes5c605.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.251739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes19c600$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11120511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548117.3%14 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes4c581.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes14c567.13$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8240912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e78…898dbacked Yes9c556.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504621.7%10 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+161.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012226.2%32 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb3…8a1dbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick11cpaid+129%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc97…6ea7backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505414.8%8 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…5725backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509945.5%45 W · 54 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes16c533.51$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Yes9c523.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.092020%4 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes8c515$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.26320.6%13 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes8c506$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0234231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.