Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1a15e87dd1b37832aa0ecbffb642cdf4908eef2b8378d764e0f891dd60fa60f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 11c | 37,444$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 24,163$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 11c | 8,675$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.21 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 10c | 3,705$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.49 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.05 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,727$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 11c | 1,683$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 10c | 999.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 11c | 876.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 12c | 733.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 527.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 12c | 475$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…990fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…6920backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 6c | 414.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 12c | 411$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 10c | 410.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 12c | 356.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Yes | 12c | 352.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 200 | 56%112 W · 88 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…6692backed Yes | 12c | 352.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 10c | 350$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 10c | 332.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 309$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Yes | 11c | 293.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…7830backed Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…df60backed Yes | 12c | 283.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa031…ba6bbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…a7b7backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 12c | 252.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…0ab3backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f1…6299backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 12c | 248$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 11c | 245.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 12c | 226.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 5c | 211.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…bedebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…a769backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…5d03backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 17.6%21 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…d9e1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…76eebacked Yes | 11c | 169.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 24.6%65 W · 199 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…696dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…8ee9backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae8…fc47backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…4a55backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Yes | 12c | 165$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…4857backed Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 152 | 13.8%21 W · 131 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 11c | 141.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…809cbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…ab14backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c42…82debacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…750fbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7e…c5abbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…b050backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…de96backed Yes | 12c | 128.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…4d64backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f262backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…ee0bbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 20.4%20 W · 78 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 151 | 21.2%32 W · 119 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…1c94backed Yes | 11c | 108.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…b081backed Yes | 12c | 104.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…a0f6backed Yes | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…51a3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…a095backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.