Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601eac486733023cb4939f567f66f53539065e82855dd6b9d154d4afeaf947ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 4c | 27,108$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 4c | 20,010$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.38 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 16,150$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…2ec2backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 4c | 6,426$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,519$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 4c | 2,315$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 1,913$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…8846backed Yes | 4c | 1,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,747$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,711$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,538$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 4c | 1,322$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 4c | 1,282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…0bcabacked Yes | 4c | 1,154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 983.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 4c | 713.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 4c | 663.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 4c | 594.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 582.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 4c | 538.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…b081backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 4c | 439$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 4c | 405.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 4c | 405.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 12.1%11 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c42…82debacked Yes | 4c | 384.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 4c | 273.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…6135backed Yes | 5c | 246.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.