TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$444,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb619…5068backed Yes4c55,555$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.4224144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c46,059$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes13c34,206$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,494.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes3c30,000$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes13c21,187$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.062,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes8c11,079$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.8429018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987c…8c2bbacked Yes4c10,000$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.511717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes17c7,801$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes10c5,963$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.637816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes4c5,128$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes3c5,048$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c94…c2f8backed Yes3c5,000$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes4c4,014$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.751,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes4c3,966$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0238817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes5c3,782$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.536024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes14c3,496$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a0…bbcfbacked Yes15c3,347$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+277.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes4c2,703$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee6…9d8fbacked Yes4c2,696$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.845619.6%11 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes4c2,632$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes3c2,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes3c1,914$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes4c1,667$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5367…cbbabacked Yes4c1,667$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606512.3%8 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes10c1,427$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5422931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes4c1,408$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes9c1,345$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes9c1,304$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.992,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes2c1,200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.536423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes3c1,184$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.956022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes4c1,126$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.412825%7 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes13c1,080$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1396729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes18c1,026$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x484a…316abacked Yes13c1,002$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.136636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes4c1,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9885…e8aabacked Yes3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes14c965.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.771,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes12c949.89$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6611717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes11c872.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.161,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed Yes4c845.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309428.7%27 W · 67 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Yes4c833.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes15c797.47$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes4c763.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes15c758.39$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11314030%42 W · 98 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06eb…ab45backed Yes12c749.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.754922.4%11 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+83.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes15c671.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes2c654.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.091,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes16c634.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes3c625$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…c086backed Yes13c620.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80414.9%2 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes13c617.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.482,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2eb9backed Yes3c612.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes3c610.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes3c606.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20486.3%3 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Yes14c600$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.85935.6%21 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes18c568.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015125.2%38 W · 113 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Yes4c555.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203613.9%5 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes16c555$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2517735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes4c533$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9133729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252a…5d60backed Yes9c531.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506123%14 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes4c526.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes5c520.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e00…6797backed Yes20c510.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…2b31backed Yes20c507.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac88…44adbacked Yes16c502.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.083525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes3c500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Yes10c488.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.889733%32 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes3c440$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0818918.5%35 W · 154 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes4c416.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes4c400$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.812934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes4c394.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521525.1%54 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x822a…23a0backed Yes3c393.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.828633.7%29 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes14c386$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.541,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked Yes8c372.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306627.3%18 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f46…ca8bbacked Yes14c364.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes4c342.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315213.8%21 W · 131 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c0…9a74backed Yes15c335.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508036.3%29 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes12c325.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0573626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes11c324.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes4c315.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes16c304.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes8c300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.061,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29cd…972abacked Yes4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56530.8%20 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.133221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Yes4c297.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112330.9%38 W · 85 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes12c285.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes12c262.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…3ad7backed Yes10c260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614024.3%34 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3a…c9d1backed Yes5c258$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-81.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb221…a639backed Yes20c255.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012520%25 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ab…93c4backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+84.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes14c250$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes8c248.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.