Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d4fd3b7223243bef7c2a32b61e6fa5563bd27c23bf2ef2f0016e78baef573f

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $223,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $211,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,464 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	63,422$3,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,414.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	6c	10,833$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes	6c	9,998$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.55	80	7.5%6 W · 74 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	6c	7,139$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.35	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes	5c	6,888$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.75	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes	6c	3,900$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes	4c	3,320$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.8	373	50.1%187 W · 186 L	+45.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+28%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Yes	5c	3,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78b3…8031backed Yes	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	6c	2,700$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	163	42.9%70 W · 93 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes	3c	2,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	120	15%18 W · 102 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes	5c	2,150$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.49	116	16.4%19 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	6c	2,055$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.28	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	194	31.4%61 W · 133 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	229	14%32 W · 197 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	5c	1,887$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.35	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	6c	1,834$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	29.6%37 W · 88 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…cf0fbacked Yes	6c	959.47$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.64	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-44%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7afb…61eabacked Yes	5c	900$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b12…a6cebacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	246	20.3%50 W · 196 L	-21.8wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	5c	765.6$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc0…7c96backed Yes	6c	750$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes	5c	704.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.22	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc56…cd2dbacked Yes	5c	699$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes	4c	599.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes	6c	547$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	347	51%177 W · 170 L	+19.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	6.3%3 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ff…b050backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	112	34.8%39 W · 73 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Yes	6c	442.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	127	50.4%64 W · 63 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	5c	424.93$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe114…2175backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Yes	6c	410.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	200	56%112 W · 88 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa683…6692backed Yes	6c	410.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…1b61backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.17per pick	30cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Yes	4c	380$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	184	17.4%32 W · 152 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes	4c	379$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	229	31%71 W · 158 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc38c…ef7fbacked Yes	6c	356.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52df…92dbbacked Yes	6c	356$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes	6c	340$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	177	23.7%42 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cee…5a38backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f0…0303backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	27.8%22 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac88…44adbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…a370backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	17.4%27 W · 128 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03c…eec4backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes	6c	331$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	277	44.8%124 W · 153 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa467…9c53backed Yes	6c	321$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Yes	5c	316.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a98…f9d9backed Yes	6c	303.83$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	373	20.9%78 W · 295 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a73…c908backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	6c	265.84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	82	2.4%2 W · 80 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ce…5d30backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	10%5 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e0…001cbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	231	24.7%57 W · 174 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	458	20.3%93 W · 365 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…51a7backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	307	32.9%101 W · 206 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	133	28.6%38 W · 95 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ed…076bbacked Yes	6c	235$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	106	24.5%26 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	5c	228$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	83	18.1%15 W · 68 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa58a…eac4backed Yes	6c	212.3$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	160	31.3%50 W · 110 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5816…8167backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	169	20.1%34 W · 135 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x800d…9962backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed9…cc28backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd141…205cbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	8.2%4 W · 45 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Yes	5c	190.53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1be…76eebacked Yes	6c	183.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?Yes won
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador?No won
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event