TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c64,715$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes3c34,615$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.8556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes3c10,796$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.2647032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes5c10,572$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1129018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes4c7,600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.811616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes4c6,634$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.211,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes4c5,144$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes3c5,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes4c4,856$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…21e8backed Yes7c4,569$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes4c4,000$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes3c3,687$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9727520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes5c3,367$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.66729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes4c3,095$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes4c2,536$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes4c2,526$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes4c2,500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956129.5%18 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes4c2,436$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes4c2,244$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.771,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes4c2,237$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8526618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes7c2,171$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014030%42 W · 98 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes4c2,111$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7422914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes1c2,070$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.181137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes4c2,065$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.281,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes4c2,055$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.919324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c1,795$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes4c1,791$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes3c1,590$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5513610.3%14 W · 122 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes4c1,570$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9651032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes3c1,558$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.362,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…f702backed Yes4c1,501$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010722.4%24 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes3c1,467$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes4c1,400$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.28117.3%14 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes4c1,282$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes4c1,250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.75667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes3c1,187$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes3c1,143$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes5c1,111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Yes3c1,094$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x484a…316abacked Yes7c1,026$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.436636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3d…34efbacked Yes2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515360.8%93 W · 60 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0918…7363backed Yes4c999.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416030%18 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes4c966.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.398419%16 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a94…6fdbbacked Yes3c909.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes3c883.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes6c850$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes4c841.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6433510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes4c835.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7619517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900e…c8aebacked Yes4c820$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.342123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Yes4c810$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.975916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes6c791.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Yes4c767$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305935.6%21 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes4c765.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308330.1%25 W · 58 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Yes4c762.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011612.9%15 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes3c757.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Yes4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes2c721.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.691,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc56…cd2dbacked Yes3c699$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.43633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes4c690$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9145820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes4c666.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5679…a939backed Yes4c657.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258914.6%13 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac88…44adbacked Yes3c606.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…af97backed Yes3c588.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207319.2%14 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick20cpaid+48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes4c586.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes5c569.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6518918.5%35 W · 154 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes4c550$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.251565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…3de0backed Yes3c534.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes4c526.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20449.1%4 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8c…3f96backed Yes4c526.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206327%17 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes3c523.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7423218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Yes4c506.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes4c506.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes4c500.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes4c500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Yes3c499.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bd…d33bbacked Yes5c428.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes4c405.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes5c400$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.619531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd194…1d3abacked Yes4c394.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.962040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes4c370$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.068714.9%13 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes5c364.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1735719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x341f…0442backed Yes4c343.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.515020%30 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b2…da2dbacked Yes6c309.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206040%24 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes4c307.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1826836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.316427.4%45 W · 119 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b9…0627backed Yes5c296.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfc…4169backed Yes7c289.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20290%0 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Yes4c289.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112330.9%38 W · 85 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb38…91f6backed Yes5c262.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Yes5c259.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4827837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101578.9%14 W · 143 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe114…2175backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes5c247.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1521542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7753…4e66backed Yes4c243.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.