TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7ff…5c2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$58.41
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.38
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.43
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$77.99
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.36
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT8714.9%13 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$68.01
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.2
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.75
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+5,455.6%+$3,928
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.91
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$86.2
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$112
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.6
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-38.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.92
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$37.73
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$3.95
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$18.53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$8.11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick64cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.99
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.2%+$36
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62.92
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$81.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$24.13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.8%+$49.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$39.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$6
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$69.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.