Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13182a3f43e0e50172d6ec2578f960e73f24a5f2c28f3c9e752369d7d5331cb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,999,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,196,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,999,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 36c | 245,549$87,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,685.36 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 36c | 180,000$64,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,199.92 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 166,065$59,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,989.76 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 35c | 159,990$55,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,993.24 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 66c | 152,098$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Yes | 64c | 150,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,999.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 64c | 145,944$93,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,804.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 129,132$83,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,714.58 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 36c | 126,495$44,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,507.82 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Yes | 65c | 120,906$78,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,588.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…f3a9backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 93,359$33,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,620.93 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 36c | 92,586$33,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,254.96 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 91,073$44,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,413.54 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 90,598$39,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,525.7 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 90,146$31,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,026.18 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 36c | 77,107$27,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,240.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 70,930$24,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,956.98 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 36c | 60,731$21,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,868.23 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 63c | 59,040$37,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,353.26 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 65c | 55,537$35,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,985.46 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 64c | 50,986$32,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,785.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 63c | 42,979$26,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,964.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 65c | 42,332$27,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,623.47 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…c62fbacked Yes | 20c | 39,184$7,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,685.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…8f46backed Yes | 45c | 39,017$17,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,411.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 35c | 38,150$13,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,710.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Yes | 57c | 37,034$21,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,213.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 64c | 36,307$23,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,236.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 35c | 34,876$12,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,671.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 36c | 33,500$12,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,439.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 64c | 32,583$20,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,853.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 32,343$11,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,113.1 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 64c | 31,674$20,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,271.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 36c | 31,151$11,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,937.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 64c | 31,000$19,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,840 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…f5bdbacked Yes | 64c | 30,759$19,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,685.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 30,738$17,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,351.82 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 40c | 29,680$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,879.93 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 36c | 28,500$10,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,240.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 36c | 27,420$9,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,587.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 34c | 27,000$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,819.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 36c | 26,520$9,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,972.66 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 64c | 24,998$16,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,015.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 36c | 22,730$8,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,606.61 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 36c | 22,671$8,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,597.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 64c | 21,151$13,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,536.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 36c | 18,600$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,996.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 24c | 14,765$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.09 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 11c | 14,666$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.93 | 173 | 65.9%114 W · 59 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 64c | 14,603$9,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,294.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…27d8backed Yes | 65c | 14,579$9,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,415.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 36c | 14,072$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.81 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 64c | 13,560$8,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,678.61 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 52c | 12,503$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes | 65c | 12,097$7,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,863.34 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 36c | 12,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,729.98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 34c | 11,887$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,833.16 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Yes | 65c | 11,708$7,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,610 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 36c | 11,592$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,418.88 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 10,881$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.63 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Yes | 64c | 10,229$6,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,546.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd55…5582backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…82c5backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 35c | 10,000$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 9,792$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.53 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 65c | 9,730$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 37c | 9,428$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.33 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 35c | 9,246$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,988.13 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 65c | 9,231$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 36c | 9,070$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 12c | 9,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 35c | 9,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,819.96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 35c | 8,993$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,857.27 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 8,699$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.92 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 41c | 8,656$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.06 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 35c | 8,170$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,311.51 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 65c | 8,137$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 38c | 8,002$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.71 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.87 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked No | 36c | 7,973$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 65c | 7,888$5,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 64c | 7,800$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 64c | 7,752$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 36c | 7,750$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 36c | 7,700$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 67c | 7,616$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.92 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Yes | 66c | 7,523$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 65c | 7,385$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2294backed Yes | 65c | 6,890$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes | 9c | 6,881$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 52c | 6,731$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 36c | 6,240$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 64c | 6,219$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.16 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.