Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a6a5cc51276987b0eef31b9416be450c589cf1f03bd9da037a8aee7053356f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $870,340 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 22c | 200,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,999.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 127,710$92,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,062.38 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 78c | 69,000$53,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,820 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…c62fbacked Yes | 27c | 34,759$9,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,201.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 30,580$17,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,994.76 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 30,355$21,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,929.02 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 18,796$14,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,661.15 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 31c | 15,999$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,039.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 75c | 13,300$9,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,975.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 15c | 12,893$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.72 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 12,486$9,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,725.33 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 32c | 12,249$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,329.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 34c | 11,935$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,935.24 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 52c | 11,804$6,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.36 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 11,500$8,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,970 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 11,237$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160.33 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 10,206$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,961.14 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Yes | 22c | 9,775$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 78c | 9,379$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 78c | 9,200$7,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 8,275$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.99 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 21c | 8,223$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,495.9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed No | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 33c | 5,604$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 32c | 5,314$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 25c | 5,228$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.75 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 5,173$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.76 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 24c | 4,181$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 27c | 3,512$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 22c | 3,469$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 23c | 3,418$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 3,241$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.95 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 78c | 3,113$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.14 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 29c | 3,100$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.99 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 12c | 3,008$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.94 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.95 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,991$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.91 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 22c | 2,791$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.91 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 18c | 2,731$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 22c | 2,612$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 50c | 2,390$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.56 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,274$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 32c | 2,218$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed No | 79c | 2,187$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 78c | 2,129$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.27 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 27c | 1,879$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.67 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…b995backed No | 79c | 1,874$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 78c | 1,804$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 28c | 1,804$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.44 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Yes | 73c | 1,737$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 1,689$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.87 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 32c | 1,604$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 72c | 1,568$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.17 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 33c | 1,537$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.12 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.74 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 67c | 1,495$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 27c | 1,457$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed No | 79c | 1,414$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,405$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.43 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.78 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 68c | 1,357$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,274$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.73 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…7328backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +106%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 25c | 1,266$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked No | 78c | 1,229$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 30c | 1,166$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.67 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 31c | 1,156$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.04 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 1,156$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.2 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…a3a7backed Yes | 31c | 1,117$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…3eb3backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.33 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 22c | 942$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.8 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 22c | 911.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…fad1backed Yes | 22c | 909.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 21c | 904$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.16 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 79c | 902.23$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.46 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 22c | 810$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 22c | 747.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.46 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 29c | 734.48$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 20c | 730$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 78c | 700$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes | 44c | 693.36$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 40c | 643.39$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.54 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed No | 79c | 633.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 70c | 581.84$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.79 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 21c | 554.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.42 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…649cbacked Yes | 22c | 547.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 75c | 504.45$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.