TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x683a…3b03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$864.12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,204
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134.99
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$455.56
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$92.41
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.68
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+160.1%+$3,202.66
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$528.43
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$581.39
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$439.56
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$538.35
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$172.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$584
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$309.99
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$205.1
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+90.7%+$303.92
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.2%+$1,265.94
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.1%+$334.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+84.2%+$905.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,658Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$2,982.48
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$1,377.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$505.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$1,900.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$914.76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$596.42
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$395.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$311.89
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$609.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$41.92
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$788
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$533.59
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.2
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.5%+$927.08
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,740.04
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,177.05
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$103.96
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,400
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$689.99
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,009Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+45.2%+$907.44
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$996.15
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.5%+$1,509.99
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$2,899.99
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,057Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+76.9%+$1,581.98
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$611
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.81
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,823Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$6,844.39
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21,357Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$6,891.36
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$498.09
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.73
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.51
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$205.56
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,013.86
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+44.7%+$201.42
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$502
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,486Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$443.87
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$309.69
All 13 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$475.85
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,925
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+55.4%+$1,070
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+41.6%+$293.6
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,200
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$87.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-77.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-69.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.28
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$107.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$215
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$805
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,078.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$611.86
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$144.87
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$791.75
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+183.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+183.3%+$1,294
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$906.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+44.9%+$134.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.7%+$133.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$472.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 July hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.