TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,989 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No71c59,720$42,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,333.4590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c26,045$8,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,427.954,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe574…832abacked Yes24c10,264$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…b277backed Yes25c8,821$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Yes26c7,777$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No75c7,524$5,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.9422753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes17c4,118$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.481,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes30c4,006$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes47c2,134$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.155253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes25c1,959$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.351457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes24c1,760$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No75c1,703$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.2211839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes10c1,613$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.843040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c1,600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No70c1,564$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.1769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2a…9aa8backed Yes24c1,499$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c1,397$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.1642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes6c1,293$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes22c1,225$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9612821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes14c1,050$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No77c1,006$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.313470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes50c1,002$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd222…6441backed No76c1,001$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c923.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.751,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No74c791$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.419662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked No76c660.08$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.911120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9910046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc494…36c9backed Yes25c426.32$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes12c419.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No76c413.48$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.053330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd2cf…80b0backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes25c388.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c376$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No62c368$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61a…fc78backed Yes13c358.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+67.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d94…bceebacked Yes25c346.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes25c329.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.264042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5526…9318backed Yes24c324.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3d…49c4backed Yes25c289.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c283.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0652…9134backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d3d…a46fbacked Yes25c245.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c244.58$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x416e…c4c6backed Yes47c221.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…1df7backed Yes28c215.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No69c211.62$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.294665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes12c209.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Yes24c208.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba9f…c88bbacked Yes36c207.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes8c203.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7129038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes43c203.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes24c200.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes25c200.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2931…edc0backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+144.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148b…1894backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes8c199.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.365521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No77c199$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7720449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes24c187.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No54c183.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.444240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No75c174.63$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.661275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206121.3%13 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes7c166.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes24c164.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.322035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce3a…ba8dbacked No76c159.92$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes14c153.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c152.6$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea30…97bdbacked Yes24c141.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No74c140.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2435145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb24…22e2backed No76c134.05$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c133.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…82ffbacked No76c132.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6478…c918backed Yes25c127$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c126$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcb…492ebacked No77c125.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+143.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes13c123.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4986…aacbbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306045%27 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes38c119.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8212152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes13c119.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3290…7043backed No76c117.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48c…9e7dbacked No76c116.59$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08f…2cb3backed No76c112.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43e…a97dbacked No77c111.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c108.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.012,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb037…d2f9backed No76c104.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.