La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62995977a63c5ba1e25112c91ec6d3d43c9219cc93f0ca55dc0c91fec5e566e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,935 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 14c | 8,351$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 6,366$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.85 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 5,575$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.71 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 18c | 4,772$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.96 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 18c | 4,368$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.13 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 20c | 4,067$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 12c | 2,250$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 18c | 1,760$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 12c | 1,682$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.37 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…fee5backed Yes | 13c | 1,669$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 1,575$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 11c | 1,140$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 17c | 1,133$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 13c | 939.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 17c | 888.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked Yes | 18c | 864.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…99a1backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 13c | 717.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 17c | 692.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 18c | 581.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…7670backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 15c | 487.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 11c | 446.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…b7d2backed Yes | 18c | 413.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 13c | 384.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Yes | 13c | 383.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…0cacbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Yes | 16c | 328.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 322.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 19c | 310$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 18c | 300.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 19c | 267.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…49c4backed Yes | 20c | 251.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…a3a7backed Yes | 11c | 247$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc0…3a4abacked Yes | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 11c | 236$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Yes | 14c | 228.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…a266backed Yes | 13c | 225.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 221.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…c88bbacked Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 17c | 210.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…3b08backed Yes | 11c | 203.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Yes | 12c | 193.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 13c | 192$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes | 10c | 190.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…1df7backed Yes | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…6e5ebacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 18c | 164.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 18c | 152.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 18c | 150.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe04f…c4e4backed Yes | 18c | 138.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…97bdbacked Yes | 18c | 125.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Yes | 11c | 123.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 17c | 114.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 18c | 112.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…95d0backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148b…1894backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 13c | 108.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa065…e2bfbacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…8ad9backed Yes | 11c | 107$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 11c | 106$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…7f06backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +300%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 12c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…280cbacked Yes | 18c | 100.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…b21cbacked Yes | 13c | 98.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 17c | 95.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 26c | 95.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 74c | 95.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 17c | 94.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.