La Liga · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb70468bb7e635f836a72ae302c1e2e72ec7ee9c10cd400f714385eeb62a94027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,394,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,394,746 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 753 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 59c | 356,684$211,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,374.55 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 40c | 293,848$118,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,299.25 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 41c | 271,900$110,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,661.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Yes | 60c | 200,000$119,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,999.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 41c | 99,958$40,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,982.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 60c | 98,514$59,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,920.18 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 59c | 84,162$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,161.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 58c | 80,000$46,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 78,143$31,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,168.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 43c | 65,688$28,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,119.21 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 44c | 43,991$19,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,155.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 59c | 42,508$25,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,428.47 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 45c | 39,772$17,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,897.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 43c | 38,324$16,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,517.79 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 61c | 35,000$21,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,649.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 33,657$19,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,903.4 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 32,993$13,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,415.27 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 60c | 28,040$16,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250.73 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 43c | 27,994$11,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,927.37 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 40c | 27,339$11,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,039.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 26,682$11,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,349.59 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 43c | 26,550$11,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,416.5 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 40c | 26,504$10,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,498 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 24,045$15,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,535.04 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 60c | 22,130$13,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,914.77 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 20,156$8,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400.62 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 40c | 19,848$7,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,933.9 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 39c | 19,827$7,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,736.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 41c | 17,316$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 44c | 17,020$7,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,417.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 60c | 16,671$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,589.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 41c | 13,360$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.57 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 61c | 12,477$7,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.21 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 58c | 12,278$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.05 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 34c | 11,127$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.28 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 41c | 9,643$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.67 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed Yes | 48c | 9,000$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 24c | 9,000$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.74 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 55c | 8,902$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.76 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 56c | 8,323$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.31 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 28c | 7,818$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.98 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 56c | 7,400$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 40c | 7,000$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 42c | 7,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.98 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 69c | 6,252$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.85 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 60c | 6,050$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 62c | 5,890$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 58c | 4,804$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.68 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 45c | 4,431$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.13 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 70c | 4,375$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.76 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 41c | 4,341$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed No | 41c | 3,991$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 56c | 3,962$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes | 58c | 3,931$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…b722backed Yes | 67c | 3,723$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 42c | 3,583$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 16c | 3,525$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.64 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 40c | 3,500$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 60c | 3,333$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.33 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 43c | 3,229$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 3,176$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 3,118$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.08 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 23c | 3,041$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.41 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 41c | 2,826$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,760$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 60c | 2,639$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.69 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 53c | 2,458$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.39 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Yes | 62c | 2,225$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 45c | 2,188$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.63 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 2,183$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 45c | 2,156$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.76 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.64 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.9 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 1,999$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.77 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 41c | 1,988$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 42c | 1,816$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 1,755$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 40c | 1,703$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,597$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…f2b3backed Yes | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 39c | 1,550$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.7 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 30c | 1,422$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.51 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed No | 42c | 1,414$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.