TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3447…95d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+285.4%+$114.16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+525%+$52.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick21cpaid-84%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.97
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.43
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$19.82
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200.42
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$44.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+185.7%+$20.43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Bochum vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: PSV (-2.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.