NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a808c701b3432667fc8f21b3fe05259264cb45276aa7fcd2a7d486bfaa3601

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Pelicans, Thunder
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,247,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,277,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,247,856 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Pelicans	14c	497,452$70,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,443.29	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pelicans	13c	90,758$11,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,884.96	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Pelicans	15c	74,553$11,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,183	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans	13c	74,500$9,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,904.95	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans	14c	50,000$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pelicans	14c	48,634$6,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,968.02	142	45.1%64 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Pelicans	14c	46,577$6,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,520.78	152	50.7%77 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans	14c	35,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pelicans	15c	32,524$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Pelicans	14c	25,022$3,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,503.08	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pelicans	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Pelicans	14c	24,916$3,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,488.03	79	43%34 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Pelicans	9c	24,707$2,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,192	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans	14c	22,857$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans	6c	20,153$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.57	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Pelicans	14c	20,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.99	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans	14c	20,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.98	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Pelicans	14c	19,999$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.86	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans	14c	19,815$2,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,774.16	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans	14c	18,585$2,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,554.97	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans	13c	16,740$2,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,182.62	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pelicans	15c	16,737$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans	1c	14,653$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.53	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Pelicans	18c	13,586$2,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,511.56	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans	14c	13,237$1,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.18	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans	1c	13,093$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.8	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans	6c	10,995$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.51	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Pelicans	14c	10,714$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans	14c	10,047$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,437.11	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Pelicans	21c	9,633$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.65	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans	16c	9,062$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.35	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans	10c	9,046$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.45	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Pelicans	17c	8,388$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans	14c	7,702$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.3	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Pelicans	14c	7,143$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Pelicans	4c	7,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pelicans	14c	7,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Pelicans	8c	6,708$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.22	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Pelicans	13c	6,664$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.37	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Pelicans	6c	6,501$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.7	314	30.3%95 W · 219 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans	14c	6,100$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pelicans	1c	6,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Pelicans	13c	5,983$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.74	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Pelicans	19c	5,454$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.41	166	35.5%59 W · 107 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Pelicans	14c	5,281$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Pelicans	13c	5,081$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.29	458	38%174 W · 284 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c6…50c6backed Pelicans	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans	0c	4,895$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans	14c	4,286$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pelicans	14c	4,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Pelicans	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Pelicans	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans	0c	3,232$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Pelicans	15c	2,926$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.93	132	50%66 W · 66 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans	5c	2,881$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.04	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Pelicans	14c	2,850$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	355	31.8%113 W · 242 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans	4c	2,700$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.38	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Pelicans	7c	2,653$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.99	94	24.5%23 W · 71 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-39%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans	14c	2,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Pelicans	14c	2,400$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	100	50%50 W · 50 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadc1…f100backed Pelicans	13c	2,351$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Pelicans	8c	2,322$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Pelicans	14c	2,307$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Pelicans	14c	2,273$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.18	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Pelicans	18c	2,271$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.25	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Pelicans	16c	2,200$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	251	46.2%116 W · 135 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans	14c	2,100$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pelicans	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Pelicans	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pelicans	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder	79c	1,921$1,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.51	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Pelicans	4c	1,814$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.28	103	4.9%5 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Pelicans	15c	1,724$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.76	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans	1c	1,685$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Pelicans	14c	1,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Pelicans	15c	1,436$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.42	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Pelicans	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	207	28.5%59 W · 148 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Pelicans	14c	1,381$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Pelicans	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	172	36%62 W · 110 L	-19.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x872b…c3c0backed Pelicans	15c	1,330$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Pelicans	4c	1,246$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.89	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pelicans	17c	1,191$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans	8c	1,154$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.23	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans	14c	1,150$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans	13c	1,114$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Pelicans	7c	1,100$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.4	265	29.1%77 W · 188 L	-23.9wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Pelicans	13c	1,074$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.67	219	23.7%52 W · 167 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans	6c	1,057$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.44	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbc…0f5cbacked Pelicans	6c	1,057$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.13	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Pelicans	6c	1,046$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.48	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb10…8062backed Pelicans	16c	1,024$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.7	220	34.1%75 W · 145 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d4…a8febacked Pelicans	19c	1,002$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Pelicans	14c	1,000$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	183	32.2%59 W · 124 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pelicans	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Pelicans	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	211	39.8%84 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Pelicans	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	248	50%124 W · 124 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pelicans vs. Thunderthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Pelicans won
Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Pelicans won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pelicans vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event