NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92e8a80b609750f3251ce102f92fd689cf5fede4c39c7de0fea39a1d3a3f792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Thunder, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Pelicans | 56c | 26,968$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,967.41 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 44c | 26,495$11,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,758.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans | 56c | 22,701$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,001 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 45c | 13,974$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 45c | 12,090$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pelicans | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pelicans | 56c | 6,100$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 46c | 6,008$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.7 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ded…f7dabacked Thunder | 45c | 5,548$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…ff48backed Pelicans | 55c | 5,434$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…618bbacked Thunder | 45c | 4,963$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Thunder | 46c | 4,337$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.22 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ef…d106backed Thunder | 45c | 4,037$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…cbc2backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,982$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…98f2backed Thunder | 45c | 3,786$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…bae0backed Thunder | 45c | 3,673$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…b075backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,621$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…291fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 3,542$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 54c | 3,388$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.54 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,376$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.18 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e9…541dbacked Thunder | 45c | 3,325$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…3567backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,325$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 45c | 3,270$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…cb27backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,079$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc86…6e03backed Thunder | 45c | 3,025$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…3e62backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,022$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…5a11backed Thunder | 45c | 3,022$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…d7fdbacked Pelicans | 55c | 3,021$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…1bb3backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,977$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…25d5backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,856$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…27b6backed Thunder | 45c | 2,613$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…a438backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,588$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…13a0backed Thunder | 45c | 2,563$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…b50cbacked Thunder | 45c | 2,556$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…a347backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,555$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…640bbacked Thunder | 45c | 2,555$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb191…43bdbacked Thunder | 45c | 2,542$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…d438backed Thunder | 45c | 2,541$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c9…3dc7backed Thunder | 45c | 2,541$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…9701backed Thunder | 45c | 2,536$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…2963backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,534$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6f7fbacked Thunder | 45c | 2,534$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…6a35backed Thunder | 45c | 2,532$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x361d…2c0bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 2,512$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…2cabbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,358$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,318$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…7530backed Thunder | 45c | 2,171$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…d229backed Thunder | 45c | 2,152$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…d674backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,085$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…c3e1backed Thunder | 45c | 2,073$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…8765backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,066$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…15f8backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,063$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c2…5160backed Thunder | 45c | 2,055$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…70a4backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,055$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…aceebacked Thunder | 45c | 2,054$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…d083backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,052$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…481cbacked Thunder | 45c | 2,044$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…4150backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,043$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…cbbdbacked Pelicans | 55c | 2,042$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56e…68fbbacked Pelicans | 55c | 2,036$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…3f89backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,035$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614c…88e6backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,024$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x836b…4e23backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,012$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 48c | 1,813$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…b273backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,687$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pelicans | 69c | 1,544$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 44c | 1,463$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…2aa9backed Thunder | 45c | 1,392$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…0927backed Thunder | 45c | 1,288$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…516dbacked Pelicans | 55c | 1,258$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…8afabacked Pelicans | 55c | 1,252$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…88ecbacked Pelicans | 55c | 1,211$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…a870backed Thunder | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…7106backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,155$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…6d59backed Thunder | 45c | 1,053$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder | 47c | 927$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.69 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…b939backed Pelicans | 55c | 902$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…1362backed Thunder | 45c | 843$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 44c | 801.24$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Thunder | 44c | 700.27$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.12 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 46c | 687.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.48 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans | 53c | 617.74$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.34 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Pelicans | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 44c | 553$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Thunder | 44c | 510$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Thunder | 44c | 499.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 44c | 493.19$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Pelicans | 55c | 439.63$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Thunder | 44c | 399.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pelicans | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Thunder | 45c | 337.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 48c | 311.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans | 55c | 301.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Thunder | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.