NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95fdd5394ef08729308c7acc4747cc8eb0c5c0ec45c9b9b026dd515ca51939da

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $676,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $686,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,261 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	51c	375,906$191,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191,560.85	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	49c	335,079$164,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170,890.23	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under	52c	128,825$67,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61,292.73	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over	48c	23,236$11,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,153.44	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3c…ea0abacked Over	47c	15,470$7,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,270.77	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	48c	14,572$6,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,994.71	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	48c	11,608$5,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,571.99	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under	49c	9,999$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.49	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	52c	9,503$4,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,601.08	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b83…23f1backed Over	47c	8,460$3,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,976.2	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under	54c	7,815$4,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,626.48	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over	47c	7,227$3,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,396.69	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	48c	6,875$3,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,297.32	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under	52c	6,808$3,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,267.69	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over	47c	6,767$3,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,180.48	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over	48c	6,297$3,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,007.04	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,820	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	47c	6,000$2,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,819.95	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	48c	5,712$2,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,717.37	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0703…1d1ebacked Over	48c	5,405$2,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,594.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdccd…ce67backed Over	49c	5,403$2,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,647.47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc6…026bbacked Over	49c	5,398$2,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,645.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab9…c0d6backed Under	51c	5,335$2,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,613.15	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x199d…28c8backed Over	49c	5,309$2,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,601.41	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc46…ea7ebacked Over	49c	5,129$2,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,513.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over	48c	5,107$2,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,451.37	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	52c	5,000$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,420	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84a9…b878backed Over	47c	4,725$2,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,220.75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under	54c	4,609$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,109.08	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	48c	4,512$2,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,171.7	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Over	47c	4,145$1,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,948	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	51c	3,789$1,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860.4	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over	48c	3,758$1,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,786	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over	47c	3,721$1,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	48c	3,265$1,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,567.16	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Under	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over	47c	2,904$1,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,365.01	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over	48c	2,771$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Over	47c	2,439$1,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,148.83	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf794…3379backed Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	282	45.4%128 W · 154 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c2…5160backed Under	51c	1,999$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.51	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1457…4631backed Under	51c	1,992$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1611…3b81backed Under	51c	1,988$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa7d…4affbacked Under	51c	1,975$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under	52c	1,950$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea7c…7e1dbacked Over	14c	1,928$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aed…cc7fbacked Under	52c	1,915$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73ff…9471backed Under	51c	1,890$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.1	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	47c	1,875$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.66	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbda2…4db2backed Under	52c	1,867$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.16	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+99.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b04…0786backed Under	51c	1,843$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.07	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ac…e5e2backed Under	51c	1,802$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$882.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb63…391fbacked Under	51c	1,789$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…bd70backed Over	49c	1,746$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13cd…0a58backed Under	51c	1,712$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.88	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	51cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb2…4150backed Over	49c	1,655$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.95	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad3…b6e5backed Under	51c	1,634$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.66	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b9…15f8backed Over	49c	1,632$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.68	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd4e…961ebacked Under	52c	1,623$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over	47c	1,622$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.69	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ea6…3cabbacked Over	49c	1,589$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb54…c3e1backed Under	51c	1,574$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.26	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee43…8d52backed Under	51c	1,568$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.32	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67c2…4e1cbacked Under	51c	1,527$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.23	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a39…2cf9backed Under	51c	1,519$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.31	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under	53c	1,513$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.21	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under	51c	1,463$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.94	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b1…d674backed Over	49c	1,442$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.58	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a7…3f89backed Over	49c	1,355$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.95	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2b…481cbacked Under	51c	1,302$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	68c	1,299$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.02	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e5…cf86backed Under	52c	1,240$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.38	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.37per pick	50cpaid	+74.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	47c	1,180$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.73	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	47c	1,160$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…aceebacked Under	51c	1,159$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.91	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	40c	1,083$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.79	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under	53c	1,040$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.8	183	45.4%83 W · 100 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over	47c	1,011$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.85	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under	51c	1,009$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.57	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	39c	971.62$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.96	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	52c	905$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.4	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	60c	850$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over	47c	836.64$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.22	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Over	47c	831.91$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	53c	807.29$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.26	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under	54c	800$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	50c	799$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.5	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under	71c	686.88$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.27	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	47c	621$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.87	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Under	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Under	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under	53c	471.7$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.7	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under	53c	426.24$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.68	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Pelicans won
Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Pelicans vs. ThunderThunder won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Pelicans won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event