TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over46c27,717$12,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,745.821057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c22,205$11,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,211.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x527c…b273backed Over45c5,590$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a35…b939backed Over45c5,232$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6007…88ecbacked Over45c5,106$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c2…4e1cbacked Over45c4,852$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1457…4631backed Over45c4,211$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb63…391fbacked Over45c4,122$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x361d…2c0bbacked Over45c3,547$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b04…0786backed Under55c3,499$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc84d…9701backed Under55c2,956$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ff…9471backed Under55c2,790$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7d…4affbacked Under55c2,558$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb191…43bdbacked Under55c2,456$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1234…640bbacked Under55c2,352$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over38c2,211$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2b…a347backed Over45c2,025$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a47…2963backed Over45c2,012$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x706a…8afabacked Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8840…a438backed Over45c1,985$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c0…516dbacked Under55c1,925$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+65.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e64…1bb3backed Under55c1,906$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca4…618bbacked Under55c1,852$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under54c1,842$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.2712855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…b50cbacked Under55c1,805$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ef…d106backed Under55c1,745$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x614c…88e6backed Under55c1,738$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ded…f7dabacked Under55c1,673$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x745b…b527backed Under55c1,581$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62ad…cb27backed Under55c1,508$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13cd…0a58backed Under55c1,251$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+64.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedc6…026bbacked Under55c1,242$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c1,222$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c1,160$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over44c1,099$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.1326034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c986.07$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under54c871$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.661,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc46…ea7ebacked Under55c811$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c682.78$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.863,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Under55c600$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27254853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee43…8d52backed Under55c511$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under56c470$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over45c450.91$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.911,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under54c378.89$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2942845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad3…b6e5backed Under55c322$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under56c315.66$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.896653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708a…1f12backed Under55c273.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.443554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over45c260.42$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.191,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c254.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c215.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdccd…ce67backed Under55c201$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e0…b630backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Over12c197$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1412737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x230f…6869backed Under56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c5…0b58backed Under57c123.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.811650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under56c114.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.291,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c109.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.873,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa843…8c8bbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Over45c94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.36349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…958ebacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under55c85.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4824332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9150351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under55c84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.840446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff6…5dbdbacked Under56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c33…c2f6backed Under56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.361553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c70.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.223,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under53c68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.965750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Over45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.155141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over46c65.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9443244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fc…2fdebacked Under56c64.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Under54c59.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.517851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Over44c57.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4516947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745e…5975backed Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x617d…82dcbacked Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c44.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5a…0849backed Over45c42.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99df…b59abacked Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa06f…8a34backed Under56c36.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.113354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…a441backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7122646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ff…c93fbacked Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a3…f54cbacked Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Over47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7918757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under56c25.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3516343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Under55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Under55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.