NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0385c4c38073569fe6f1cb12b5dd7fa9d0fe501ba2b356cefda211e0cc82a4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Thunder, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 50c | 73,422$37,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,001.13 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.94 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 12,105$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,184.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.97 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder | 51c | 11,744$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.22 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 50c | 10,250$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,122.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pelicans | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 51c | 9,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 49c | 9,061$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 49c | 7,987$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.72 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 49c | 7,784$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.74 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 51c | 7,662$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.82 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans | 53c | 7,549$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.15 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 52c | 7,074$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.36 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Thunder | 51c | 6,767$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.17 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Pelicans | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,784$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 49c | 4,232$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 52c | 4,214$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.45 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Pelicans | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,890$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.79 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Thunder | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Pelicans | 48c | 3,632$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.81 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 50c | 3,551$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Thunder | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 49c | 2,916$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 48c | 2,307$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.43 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Pelicans | 48c | 2,000$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,952$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.2 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…2cabbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,350$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,341$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.19 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,337$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Thunder | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Thunder | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.19 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Thunder | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 48c | 974.55$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans | 51c | 939$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.11 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 878.35$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.39 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Pelicans | 51c | 784.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.71 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 48c | 714.95$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.18 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 51c | 700$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Thunder | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Pelicans | 51c | 598.94$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.38 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Pelicans | 52c | 591.53$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.93 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Thunder | 51c | 588.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Thunder | 48c | 529.84$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder | 60c | 525$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Pelicans | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pelicans | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pelicans | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 60c | 492.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Thunder | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Thunder | 49c | 400.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 50c | 397.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Thunder | 49c | 395$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Thunder | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Thunder | 52c | 390.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Pelicans | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 49c | 366.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 50c | 344.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Thunder | 7c | 332.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Thunder | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Thunder | 50c | 318$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…42b4backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…db22backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 49c | 298.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Pelicans | 49c | 290.53$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 40c | 284.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Thunder | 52c | 283.07$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Thunder | 50c | 247.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Pelicans | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Pelicans | 62c | 220.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 324 | 55.9%181 W · 143 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Thunder | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 56c | 218.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Thunder | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pelicans | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.