TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb275…c76f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
419
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT19244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.38
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.56
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.03
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.52
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.75
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$45.54
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.09
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+470%+$4,713.12
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.64
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+48%+$206.28
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$507.93
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$530.23
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$123.46
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT15551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.81
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.46
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.57
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.11
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.54
Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$37.5
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$144.66
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.73
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.17
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$143.58
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,168.82
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3,883.12
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,453.83
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,613Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$11,807.44
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,164.9
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$21,277.89
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,520.93
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$838.19
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,263.16
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,067.79
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.26
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$56.97
Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,609.86
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$285.79
Dubrovnik: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.35
Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.71
Naples: Francesco Forti vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$603
Mrva vs. Samuel: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.58
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$137.94
Thionville: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$532.08
Kigali: Marco Trungelliti vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Thionville: Dan Added vs Martin Krumichbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Pune: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+220.8%+$211.47
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Tigre 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+355.3%+$175.32
Rublev vs. Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$17.86
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Luca Nardibacked Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$98.08
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$169.92
New Delhi: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Felix Gillbacked Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+32.9%+$80.44
Rio Open: Vit Kopriva vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$140.7
Oeiras 2: Teodora Kostovic vs Francisca Jorgebacked Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+233.3%+$527.87
Les Sables d'Olonne: Sofia Costoulas vs Fiona Ferrobacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$462.2
Oeiras 2: Viktoriya Tomova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rio Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Pedro Martinezbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+566.7%+$141.67
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.43
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.21
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$70.68
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.19
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.68
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$171.13
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.31
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.85
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$374.44
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.14
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.03
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+137.5%+$71.51
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$13.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+408.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+408.7%+$185.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs Level UP (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.