TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,586 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under1c4,626$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4189810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over70c2,404$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.8714852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over68c2,193$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.322259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under31c2,167$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.52,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked Under14c2,032$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.833540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Over70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59d4…eb89backed Under12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406428.1%18 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+97%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…8639backed Over70c1,920$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.634555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x641c…9a65backed Under20c1,510$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over71c1,491$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3939749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5719244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under12c1,400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under22c1,361$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.419648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under29c1,250$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.492,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed Under5c1,199$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4215135.1%53 W · 98 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed6…11f8backed Under10c1,020$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe4…7a9abacked Under4c1,004$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c1…2727backed Over77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf180…9235backed Under10c936.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over79c856.08$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.82,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Over69c799.94$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.985959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9363458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under27c650.08$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.521,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under31c638.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2317163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Under32c628$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Over80c609.83$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9746263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Over71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc2…0375backed Under17c590.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcac0…7fe9backed Under30c549.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15528655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0454…ba0fbacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under29c499.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14529240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Under32c451.45$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1469131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Over67c448.99$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.955653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Under31c442.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.145034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under32c438.13$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.224041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…51ddbacked Under19c430$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.69748.5%47 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Over71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.544365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa493…7edbbacked Under6c341.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c8…90c3backed Over70c325.71$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.712161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+181.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8daa…57b8backed Under18c315.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under31c312.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0218829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Under17c302.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.457823.1%18 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.716864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b9…aa71backed Over73c280.35$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.353860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025466.5%169 W · 85 L+22.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under27c250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under25c242.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8815232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Under31c215.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9115141.7%63 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under30c212$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.621844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over70c202.86$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8650158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5815148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0c…6912backed Under20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over71c199.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9748042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x553e…df91backed Under32c199.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.43333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under14c191.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.72,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac7e…4cf1backed Under17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over70c175.02$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.513357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c27…eea9backed Under28c171.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.162250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under17c167$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.863,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5531646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf4…3f9bbacked Under24c165.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.956139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Under31c165$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.153625%9 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+47.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x243f…2915backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4de…cb5cbacked Under30c149.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.994654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c93…592fbacked Under17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8649346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865044%22 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Over70c142.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.098842%37 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b70…1efebacked Over71c141$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.897250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa3…538dbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Under31c129$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under17c128.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9117039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ab8…7a9fbacked Under17c127.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.213441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Over70c126.58$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under29c125.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0430247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee25…5abdbacked Under20c122.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.033850%19 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Under33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012347.2%58 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3f…5721backed Under13c118.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Under17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf75d…4a96backed Under17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202425%6 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe64d…73bebacked Over71c112.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-64.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under14c112.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7423348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b8…849ebacked Under17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30d…c27ebacked Over72c103.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.683253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x295d…5dc8backed Over69c102.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Under17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3315341.8%64 W · 89 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3035751.5%184 W · 173 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e73…464fbacked Over68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick68cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Over69c99.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9921622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Under31c99.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1941743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over71c97.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3765063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…a606backed Under31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4387…af9abacked Over70c94.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.