TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 4?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,246 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f9d…f2b3backed Bilibili Gaming4c2,407$93 inLost-$93728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming52c2,000$1,040 inLost-$1,039.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked G2 Esports67c1,944$1,310 inWon+$633.9975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Bilibili Gaming7c500$36 inLost-$3611316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b3…59b1backed G2 Esports52c399.47$206 inWon+$193.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bilibili Gaming55c352.56$194 inLost-$193.9132345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked G2 Esports48c300$144 inWon+$15619367.9%131 W · 62 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed G2 Esports45c200$90 inWon+$11022617.7%40 W · 186 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbff…e8e7backed G2 Esports48c97.38$47 inWon+$50.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked G2 Esports45c77$35 inWon+$42.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463f…74d6backed G2 Esports45c44.44$20 inWon+$24.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…2b3abacked G2 Esports48c40$19 inWon+$20.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked G2 Esports48c25$12 inWon+$1340237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.