TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,979 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over57c4,959$2,826 inLost-$2,826.417163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under43c2,605$1,120 inWon+$1,484.6512035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over57c1,602$907 inLost-$906.551,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under44c1,455$640 inWon+$814.3421844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under41c1,220$500 inWon+$719.5116935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under43c1,170$503 inWon+$666.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Under43c837.3$360 inWon+$477.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under41c720.5$295 inWon+$425.13,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Under43c655.81$282 inWon+$373.814465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over59c500$295 inLost-$29516154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Under43c465.12$200 inWon+$265.124751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under46c453.08$208 inWon+$244.6615232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over59c300$177 inLost-$1776251.6%32 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over58c168$97 inLost-$97.4413357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ca…731bbacked Over59c110$65 inLost-$64.93850%19 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under41c100$41 inWon+$595954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under41c95$39 inWon+$56.0511450.9%58 W · 56 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fde…9ab1backed Over50c40$20 inLost-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Over54c25.8$14 inLost-$13.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under41c24.8$10 inWon+$14.631,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over58c20$12 inLost-$11.628559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.