TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof G2 Esports, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,050 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b45…bc22backed G2 Esports1c3,857$45 inLost-$45.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…e39cbacked G2 Esports4c2,501$100 inLost-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming52c371.33$193 inWon+$178.243,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…7958backed G2 Esports48c192.17$92 inLost-$92.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bilibili Gaming54c165.22$89 inWon+$7632345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed G2 Esports46c150$69 inLost-$6926729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports42c125.86$53 inLost-$52.861,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed G2 Esports48c108.33$52 inLost-$5222617.7%40 W · 186 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Bilibili Gaming70c57.39$40 inWon+$17.3843040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb682…2d79backed Bilibili Gaming58c51.72$30 inWon+$21.725145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98dc…e3f0backed Bilibili Gaming58c41.38$24 inWon+$17.3815360.1%92 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Bilibili Gaming71c40$28 inWon+$11.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed G2 Esports48c22.92$11 inLost-$1121819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Bilibili Gaming66c21.4$14 inWon+$7.352250%11 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Bilibili Gaming66c21.4$14 inWon+$7.3549739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Bilibili Gaming71c20$14 inWon+$5.872637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.