TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,985 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked G2 Esports73c56,343$41,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,212.5255955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Bilibili Gaming27c29,859$8,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,104.9321137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed G2 Esports75c21,338$15,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.173100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Bilibili Gaming27c18,766$5,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,066.8222624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Bilibili Gaming26c11,529$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.273762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 Esports72c8,430$6,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.4790348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Bilibili Gaming27c7,700$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07917949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming25c6,487$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.873,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Bilibili Gaming27c5,568$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.378647.7%41 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked G2 Esports71c5,449$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.1979653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked G2 Esports73c4,803$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.7519648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked G2 Esports73c4,123$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.2720649%101 W · 105 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Bilibili Gaming26c3,036$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7763938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5a…f96ebacked Bilibili Gaming12c2,970$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.541931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4532…e2a7backed Bilibili Gaming27c2,967$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.12236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Bilibili Gaming25c2,960$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.1129833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Bilibili Gaming27c2,676$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.59131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2 Esports74c2,363$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.451,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Bilibili Gaming27c2,178$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58832145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Bilibili Gaming28c2,088$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.419962.6%62 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Bilibili Gaming26c2,000$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+85.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Bilibili Gaming27c1,999$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8610949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Bilibili Gaming28c1,947$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.682,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Bilibili Gaming28c1,921$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53833857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…22ffbacked Bilibili Gaming28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+122%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Bilibili Gaming21c1,663$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8815232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Bilibili Gaming25c1,396$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3495034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked G2 Esports73c1,236$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7212649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Bilibili Gaming26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9949549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Bilibili Gaming28c1,129$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6445041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bilibili Gaming29c1,035$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.157736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Bilibili Gaming27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked G2 Esports79c999.99$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2105959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Bilibili Gaming27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed G2 Esports75c921.25$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.314168.3%28 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Esports74c842.55$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.532,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b7…125cbacked Bilibili Gaming27c787.85$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8e…1a45backed Bilibili Gaming28c782.32$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21950%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Bilibili Gaming25c695.34$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8428655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports71c667.43$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1912,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Bilibili Gaming18c638.59$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7811244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Bilibili Gaming28c581.93$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.941,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Bilibili Gaming21c543.38$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.111,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4493…9612backed Bilibili Gaming25c522.16$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Bilibili Gaming30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed G2 Esports73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a5…b734backed Bilibili Gaming28c493.21$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78fa…bbcebacked Bilibili Gaming25c488$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Bilibili Gaming28c468.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13092342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Bilibili Gaming27c428$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5664443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2d…4209backed Bilibili Gaming27c419.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed G2 Esports73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9659647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed84…b910backed Bilibili Gaming25c405.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1892…aef3backed Bilibili Gaming25c404.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Bilibili Gaming28c399.47$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11055744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Bilibili Gaming27c371.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Bilibili Gaming29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Bilibili Gaming27c323.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.283943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc57f…41abbacked G2 Esports80c299.99$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Bilibili Gaming28c291.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.675750.9%29 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Bilibili Gaming28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa629…e15cbacked Bilibili Gaming23c282.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.99264.1%59 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Bilibili Gaming27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked G2 Esports73c272.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.72050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked G2 Esports75c247$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7513357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3d…0416backed Bilibili Gaming27c243.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.832050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bilibili Gaming25c242.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6332941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d37…170bbacked Bilibili Gaming25c206.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Bilibili Gaming28c201.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.514835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed G2 Esports71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5830744%135 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked G2 Esports73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Bilibili Gaming18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Bilibili Gaming28c197.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.199538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48f2…88e1backed Bilibili Gaming28c192.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.82075%15 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Bilibili Gaming27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Bilibili Gaming27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed G2 Esports73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked G2 Esports73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked G2 Esports74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1422147.1%104 W · 117 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…3b45backed Bilibili Gaming27c129$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Bilibili Gaming28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f11…c708backed Bilibili Gaming28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…d78ebacked Bilibili Gaming27c116$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilibili Gaming16c112.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5589810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8698…871fbacked Bilibili Gaming27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+69.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Bilibili Gaming28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2946552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8df…1d90backed Bilibili Gaming29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb593…dbc7backed G2 Esports73c100.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.245100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked Bilibili Gaming28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Bilibili Gaming28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2834960.2%210 W · 139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf462…2cd4backed G2 Esports73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc515…b732backed Bilibili Gaming26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Bilibili Gaming26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc931…75d0backed Bilibili Gaming28c98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Bilibili Gaming27c97.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3716154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe771…3751backed Bilibili Gaming27c86.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Bilibili Gaming28c81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6832142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Bilibili Gaming25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021054.8%115 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Bilibili Gaming21c76.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.726530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.