TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x48f2…88e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 61 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.58
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.19
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$15.35
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$56.86
LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$121.02
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$44.27
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$119.25
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.15
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.2%+$52.12
LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO1) - LCS Lock In Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.4
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$290.97
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$121.03
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.65
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.34
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.52
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.78
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$203.22
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$53.84
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.23
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$172.91
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$66.46
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$49.28
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.98
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$87.48
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.15
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.34
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.33
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.66
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.39
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.16
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.15
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$973.98
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$560.97
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$138.03
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+162.8%+$286.76
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.3%+$9.01
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+76.6%+$7.87
Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+76.2%+$91.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.37
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$151.1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$219.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+84.8%+$406.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$3.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgbacked IlloJuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$151.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.