Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23cf3fe2f044b39e4bfda34ab0488b724abb5c8f386e15603d8446ffa079ebf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfadd…3955backed NRG | 52c | 3,116$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.37 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked MIBR | 50c | 2,330$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 45c | 599.8$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…29e8backed NRG | 72c | 248.36$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked MIBR | 43c | 232.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 35c | 220.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed NRG | 65c | 218.62$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked MIBR | 50c | 204.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked NRG | 63c | 202.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 27c | 165.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…4fb3backed NRG | 77c | 155.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 20c | 102.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked MIBR | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed NRG | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…92bbbacked NRG | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NRG | 60c | 91.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…cc11backed MIBR | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed NRG | 49c | 54.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed MIBR | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed NRG | 70c | 43.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked NRG | 60c | 43.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed MIBR | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…88e1backed NRG | 78c | 20.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsMIBR won
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.