Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf6f8fc73f5922c5cd1f78d5b81228ed3e986275943cd606e6168adf6f6d9b46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof NRG, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked NRG | 60c | 3,063$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.21 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…b8bbbacked MIBR | 40c | 2,430$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked MIBR | 46c | 2,238$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked NRG | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 46c | 910.02$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.06 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…92bbbacked NRG | 59c | 614.21$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 66c | 577.1$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 66c | 535.16$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked NRG | 45c | 530$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 46c | 486.56$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed NRG | 20c | 330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed NRG | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 41c | 268.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked MIBR | 39c | 266.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MIBR | 67c | 255.08$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed NRG | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 41c | 197.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed NRG | 61c | 180$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MIBR | 19c | 168.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…f593backed NRG | 34c | 164.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed NRG | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked NRG | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked MIBR | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked NRG | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed NRG | 19c | 105.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…cc11backed NRG | 62c | 105.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked NRG | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed MIBR | 34c | 92.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked NRG | 67c | 88.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…4e62backed MIBR | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed NRG | 29c | 68.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…a5dbbacked MIBR | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked NRG | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked MIBR | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked NRG | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed NRG | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…522abacked NRG | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked NRG | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked NRG | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…6c4abacked NRG | 61c | 33.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed MIBR | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed NRG | 68c | 28.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…e3f4backed NRG | 66c | 26.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked MIBR | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked NRG | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsMIBR won
- Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.