TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cba…b0e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1910.5%2 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.76
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+525%+$52.5
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+203%+$30.45
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Jesper de Jong vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.16
European Open: Federico Cina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Japan Women's Open: Naomi Osaka vs Suzan Lamensbacked Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Ningbo Open: Emma Raducanu vs Lin Zhubacked Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$73.24
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Hanyu Guo vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$62.55
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+225.6%+$29.01
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Tausonbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$30.86
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+203.4%+$71.18
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.8
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+119%+$47.61
Valorant: TSM vs Team Envy (BO3)backed TSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.15
Valorant: Team Solid vs Team Envy (BO3)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-85%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Bbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+65.2%+$13.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Virginia Techbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.75
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$75
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$26.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.29
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+400%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.