TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rinderknechof Medvedev, Rinderknech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd16a…7691backed Medvedev70c34,556$24,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,107.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Rinderknech30c33,788$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,787.652045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Medvedev70c27,589$19,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,340.892,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Medvedev70c23,957$16,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,818.861,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Rinderknech35c18,586$6,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,005.888052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Rinderknech30c14,545$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,138.2128443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Medvedev70c7,837$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,503.734930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Rinderknech30c6,792$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,754.7757645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Rinderknech30c6,675$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,674.8818933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Medvedev71c6,495$4,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,641.52119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Rinderknech57c5,164$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.486747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Medvedev72c4,190$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Rinderknech42c3,869$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.034955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Rinderknech30c3,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rinderknech19c3,166$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.782,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rinderknech31c3,050$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.771,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rinderknech42c3,030$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.417046.5%79 W · 91 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Rinderknech63c3,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Medvedev71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1306141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rinderknech56c2,746$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.7511652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rinderknech25c2,688$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.5524544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rinderknech29c2,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.9716140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Medvedev61c2,380$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.1320653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Rinderknech42c2,357$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.313641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Rinderknech26c2,045$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52166831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rinderknech29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Medvedev57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.815630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Rinderknech29c1,731$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.8312050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Medvedev69c1,689$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.8562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Medvedev47c1,680$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.7410252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rinderknech35c1,646$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.788,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Rinderknech29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0651560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+62.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Rinderknech31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0357330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f16…da10backed Rinderknech28c1,250$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Medvedev72c1,233$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8903342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Rinderknech28c1,200$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.0529634.1%101 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Rinderknech45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1111060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Medvedev31c1,000$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.417653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Medvedev51c868.16$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1315447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Medvedev71c845.07$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rinderknech25c794.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.973147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Rinderknech16c753.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.751323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rinderknech33c751.78$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.861,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f13…3a2dbacked Rinderknech39c700$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Rinderknech30c694.12$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.8840141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Medvedev59c622.89$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5213435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rinderknech37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Medvedev65c525$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.257744.2%34 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Medvedev76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Rinderknech42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Rinderknech43c460.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.823852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5a00backed Medvedev59c441.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.942433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Rinderknech30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28010251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Medvedev57c333$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.817335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Rinderknech28c330$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.551,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Rinderknech31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.586145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7d…25f8backed Medvedev79c313$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Medvedev66c312.47$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…4fe5backed Rinderknech36c309.72$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddfe…c5a6backed Rinderknech41c304.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Rinderknech19c289.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9944423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9b…211dbacked Medvedev75c280$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Medvedev69c239$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Rinderknech26c233.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.512,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b98…0e50backed Rinderknech25c220.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.133221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Rinderknech33c213.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1360641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Medvedev72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15071857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Rinderknech30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked Medvedev71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Rinderknech25c192$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Medvedev60c185.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.093243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Rinderknech29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4125043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Rinderknech29c170.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.116833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Rinderknech30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.676737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed Medvedev60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Rinderknech29c150.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.513354.5%18 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+65.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rinderknech37c150$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0362952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Medvedev64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e3…4b9ebacked Rinderknech40c148.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…5f5ebacked Medvedev69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.052653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Medvedev71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Medvedev71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd9…714cbacked Rinderknech39c140.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.822138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…05f5backed Rinderknech21c140$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.42857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f8…2d91backed Rinderknech29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.936336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b16…44b7backed Rinderknech31c136.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Medvedev74c136.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3b5…963ebacked Rinderknech15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Rinderknech30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3326045%117 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Medvedev61c131.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.276844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Medvedev71c131.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6789364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc639…c5a2backed Rinderknech19c129.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.96944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675a…0551backed Rinderknech42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Rinderknech44c112.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Medvedev58c105.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3614332.9%47 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd843…7d56backed Rinderknech32c105$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.56243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cba…b0e4backed Rinderknech39c102.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.551145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Rinderknech47c101.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7932161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Medvedev70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Rinderknech20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806025%15 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.