TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Evil Geniusesof LOUD, Evil Geniuses
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Evil Geniuses53c50,000$26,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,499.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked LOUD47c43,728$20,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,550.987236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed LOUD46c7,179$3,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.0834356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Evil Geniuses52c4,358$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.1713558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed LOUD1c3,906$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4827411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Evil Geniuses79c3,796$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed LOUD47c3,624$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.2824946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed LOUD39c2,572$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0141537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c6…43febacked Evil Geniuses54c2,379$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked LOUD26c2,238$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.82025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Evil Geniuses54c2,154$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.785664.3%36 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed LOUD48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Evil Geniuses54c1,430$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.133759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Evil Geniuses54c1,360$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed LOUD48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9828541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Evil Geniuses52c952.25$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.0826738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Evil Geniuses77c864.43$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7528541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD27c675.67$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.091,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed LOUD14c661.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2877929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked LOUD43c631$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.456336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5197…610fbacked LOUD25c626.59$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed Evil Geniuses56c608.61$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.116167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked LOUD32c509.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD22c454.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed LOUD33c404.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3317537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD28c399.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.211,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked LOUD31c389.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9321240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed LOUD29c333.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3179650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked LOUD33c304.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3155348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Evil Geniuses69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9362156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f1…fe86backed LOUD51c282.16$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed LOUD26c280$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.823847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed LOUD36c278.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010455.8%58 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed LOUD47c249.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.515553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed LOUD31c225.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2539545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed LOUD31c224.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.488234.1%28 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Evil Geniuses54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked LOUD8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23129%9 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed Evil Geniuses54c188.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.892948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Evil Geniuses69c179$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2811433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e0…a519backed Evil Geniuses79c175$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4c…2c5ebacked Evil Geniuses79c168.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked LOUD10c163$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…9652backed Evil Geniuses77c160.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.55580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cba…b0e4backed LOUD32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed LOUD26c150.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8114757.8%85 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dd3…18e6backed Evil Geniuses77c141.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…42b4backed Evil Geniuses54c138.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.95927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked LOUD15c136.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.26425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+62.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed LOUD49c133$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+85.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf37b…6951backed Evil Geniuses76c132.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Evil Geniuses69c124$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed LOUD15c123$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.453345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff14…140cbacked LOUD25c122.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…c1bdbacked LOUD47c109.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8413…652dbacked Evil Geniuses72c105.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Evil Geniuses70c103$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.192157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked LOUD37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed LOUD21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5d…e01bbacked LOUD47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…ea80backed Evil Geniuses52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Evil Geniuses75c87.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1314957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked LOUD47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD30c80.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.191,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed Evil Geniuses71c78.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.662065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed LOUD31c64.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-56.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Evil Geniuses53c64.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0719945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Evil Geniuses67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed LOUD22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43129%9 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c30…2002backed LOUD37c59.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842e…9173backed Evil Geniuses52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6912556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked LOUD49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.46520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c17…f4f0backed LOUD47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5002…a28fbacked Evil Geniuses73c51.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.692552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Evil Geniuses66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177561.3%46 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a9e…a5dbbacked Evil Geniuses54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Evil Geniuses54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.318056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cbc…5dfcbacked LOUD48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1640%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e83…7723backed Evil Geniuses56c41.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4058…02c1backed Evil Geniuses68c40.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Evil Geniuses51c40.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.828247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe87…83d6backed LOUD50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f86…61dfbacked Evil Geniuses64c39.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.213262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Evil Geniuses51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cfe…2fd8backed Evil Geniuses77c38.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-78.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Evil Geniuses53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Evil Geniuses51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Evil Geniuses49c32.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7217543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Evil Geniuses68c31.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1326634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Evil Geniuses51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Evil Geniuses70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.470251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Evil Geniuses51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked Evil Geniuses49c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.753148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Evil Geniuses51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Evil Geniuses51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52de…8527backed Evil Geniuses78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.