TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe47c…c1bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
21
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$291.18
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+73.2%+$146.47
Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanubacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.31
Baton Rouge: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44.04
Rotterdam Open: Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$113.65
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$78.76
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$201.75
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.01
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22.03
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141.54
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$144.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$134.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.