Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e62b32f45367b3bb00683138b71ff7d22a1f44027dd2ea48b27686b33b64d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filsof Fils, Mensik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $595,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Mensik | 60c | 197,162$117,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,374.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Fils | 40c | 51,575$20,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,944.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Fils | 41c | 47,819$19,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,213.5 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Fils | 40c | 45,408$18,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,050.57 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fils | 60c | 31,603$18,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,723.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fils | 60c | 28,766$17,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,580.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Mensik | 38c | 24,361$9,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,362.54 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Mensik | 60c | 20,726$12,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,403.33 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mensik | 36c | 20,111$7,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,286.46 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Mensik | 60c | 16,569$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fils | 40c | 16,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.94 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Fils | 40c | 15,085$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,112.32 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Fils | 41c | 13,476$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,951.03 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Fils | 41c | 11,972$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,052.86 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Fils | 40c | 8,448$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.35 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Fils | 41c | 8,400$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.96 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Mensik | 53c | 8,289$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.88 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Mensik | 61c | 8,254$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Fils | 39c | 7,804$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.85 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Fils | 40c | 7,696$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.84 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Mensik | 59c | 7,440$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.75 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Fils | 42c | 7,223$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.47 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…ea75backed Mensik | 40c | 5,023$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Mensik | 40c | 5,008$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.47 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Mensik | 60c | 4,979$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Fils | 41c | 4,900$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fils | 66c | 3,832$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.58 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fils | 60c | 3,692$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.93 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fils | 58c | 3,501$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.27 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Fils | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Mensik | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Mensik | 60c | 3,349$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.14 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mensik | 11c | 3,245$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Mensik | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Fils | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Fils | 71c | 2,388$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.34 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Mensik | 45c | 2,225$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Mensik | 60c | 2,220$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fils | 43c | 2,105$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.72 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Mensik | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…b911backed Mensik | 60c | 1,983$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.02 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fils | 41c | 1,940$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.21 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fils | 56c | 1,908$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Mensik | 39c | 1,765$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.18 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Mensik | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…2e69backed Mensik | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Mensik | 45c | 1,630$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Fils | 64c | 1,565$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.83 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Mensik | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fils | 39c | 1,463$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.16 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Fils | 41c | 1,461$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.81 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Mensik | 40c | 1,452$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Mensik | 60c | 1,440$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Fils | 66c | 1,410$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.77 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fils | 39c | 1,347$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.67 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Fils | 38c | 1,319$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.83 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Mensik | 53c | 1,317$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mensik | 49c | 1,251$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.85 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Fils | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Fils | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Mensik | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Fils | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.96 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Mensik | 61c | 1,130$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.78 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Fils | 41c | 1,115$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.97 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Mensik | 65c | 1,112$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.35 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fils | 41c | 1,100$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.88 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fils | 62c | 1,095$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.97 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Fils | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Fils | 54c | 1,067$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.02 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Mensik | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.33 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fils | 39c | 1,062$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.16 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Mensik | 34c | 1,034$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Mensik | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fils | 67c | 1,006$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.7 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Fils | 65c | 1,001$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.32 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Mensik | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Mensik | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Mensik | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Mensik | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.95 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Fils | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Mensik | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Fils | 58c | 998.81$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.24 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Fils | 61c | 915.35$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.77 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Mensik | 44c | 899.94$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.96 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fils | 54c | 855.38$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…0fa2backed Mensik | 55c | 840.47$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Mensik | 60c | 840$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Mensik | 26c | 826.54$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Mensik | 60c | 816$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.69 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Fils | 60c | 801.75$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fils | 40c | 800$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mensik | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mensik | 60c | 776.52$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.91 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Mensik | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Fils | 62c | 747$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.89 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Fils | 61c | 738.02$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.64 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…124fbacked Mensik | 40c | 726.4$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…f902backed Fils | 69c | 724.57$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…1a66backed Mensik | 57c | 719.56$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Mensik | 36c | 700$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.56 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikthis page
- Fils vs. Mensik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Fils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.