TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x763f…81e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,473.72
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$385.25
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+255.8%+$2,483.78
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,784.31
Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,516Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$794.42
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$650.61
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,982.89
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.64
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,009.14
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$264
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbertbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+43.6%+$435.67
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+54.3%+$541.81
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Titouan Droguetbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$995.65
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$78
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,926Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$981.57
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+86.1%+$860.15
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.28
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,012.91
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$480.94
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,198.23
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$415.51
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,988Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$842.76
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$9,162.22
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,077Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$848.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$351
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$267.8
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$197.24
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$603.13
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$177.98
Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,717.61
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,309
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$533.55
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$394.04
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$235.28
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$348.67
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$150.79
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$229.48
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+51.5%+$78.02
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$499.71
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+42.6%+$205.83
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+29.9%+$89.68
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,515Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+38.9%+$589
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$499
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$899.4
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$960
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$448.77
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,995Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$933.32
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$548.59
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$136.6
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$470.42
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+37.5%+$112.1
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$998.18
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$2,194.85
Will Atalanta beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+27.9%+$278.22
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$508.95
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+37.5%+$375.02
Will Atalanta beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+52.4%+$2,618.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Barcelonabacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$519.07
Anadolu Efes vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$7,840.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.71
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$740
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$592.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$3,115.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$174.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$312
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$149.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,138.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.