Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455b3c41f73c0fffee913c8aa5b67e5ba9cf3651d2f2cac746388e7ddf191f30

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 14, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $127,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,937 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	24c	9,890$2,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,535.04	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes	76c	8,027$6,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,120	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	73c	7,323$5,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,989.76	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	35c	6,620$2,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,274.54	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes	23c	4,048$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.04	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	74c	2,886$2,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,135.91	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	26c	2,694$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,993.5	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes	28c	2,531$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No	63c	2,141$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.44	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	27c	2,092$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.97	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf893…0832backed Yes	77c	2,018$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	67c	1,712$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.81	297	51.9%154 W · 143 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	62c	1,691$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.36	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	23c	1,621$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.81	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Yes	76c	1,570$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-4.3wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd556…d4c9backed Yes	19c	1,527$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	26c	1,514$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.29	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	23c	1,400$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.99	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfa…f9dfbacked Yes	76c	1,381$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.46	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed No	25c	1,333$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c7…6628backed Yes	43c	1,322$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No	24c	1,300$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.08	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes	31c	1,300$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffa6…21cdbacked Yes	77c	1,293$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf5…5a81backed Yes	40c	1,249$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes	63c	1,207$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.9	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes	76c	1,110$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.49	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.23per pick	61cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No	24c	1,045$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$794.16	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	63cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No	26c	1,000$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes	75c	1,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe12e…c40bbacked Yes	26c	946.64$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa73…ce33backed Yes	33c	843.94$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes	30c	837.52$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.24	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	35c	823.62$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-12.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed Yes	76c	796.05$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	59cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes	76c	756.26$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.76	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…c5f5backed Yes	76c	734.99$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4176…7d36backed Yes	16c	718.29$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No	66c	699.98$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239	129	59.7%77 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No	70c	690$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed Yes	77c	648.97$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.71	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-4.4wins	-0.17per pick	71cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	64c	639.39$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228	342	51.8%177 W · 165 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x620e…0775backed Yes	64c	622.22$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	31c	620.27$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.61	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2c…21f8backed Yes	77c	604.17$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.17	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe763…3d69backed Yes	51c	600$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.22per pick	54cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed No	23c	600$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.56	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed No	25c	575.39$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.54	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes	27c	564.22$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.64	119	37%44 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes	31c	563.07$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.02	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes	77c	525.34$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.8	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	72cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	32c	517.96$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.05	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes	75c	512.12$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.09	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No	26c	501$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.74	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes	70c	500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	193	36.8%71 W · 122 L	-14.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0583…054dbacked Yes	77c	500$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes	49c	480.09$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.34	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	59cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No	63c	450$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes	40c	434.59$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	90	27.8%25 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…c510backed Yes	47c	427.96$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.03	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Yes	77c	400$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-5.9wins	-0.28per pick	57cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x61dd…cb5abacked Yes	76c	397.55$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	41c	383.33$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.5	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes	18c	378.72$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.17	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes	60c	335.97$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.84	78	25.6%20 W · 58 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes	77c	324.68$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-7.5wins	-0.23per pick	64cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked No	79c	319.56$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.56	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes	18c	308.67$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	75c	303.94$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.96	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes	77c	301.1$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.85	253	39.1%99 W · 154 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cba…1d68backed Yes	76c	297.49$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	76c	266.83$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.79	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1b…d0b0backed Yes	20c	260$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Yes	77c	259.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	67cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes	14c	257$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	369	54.5%201 W · 168 L	+50.1wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes	36c	250$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-5.9wins	-0.22per pick	48cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed Yes	23c	242.37$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+91.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c39…15d7backed Yes	76c	226.08$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes	77c	222.63$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.43	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes	34c	222$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.48	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	24c	220.29$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.91	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3c…45d3backed Yes	23c	203.78$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes	38c	201.15$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.39	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes	75c	200$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes	76c	200$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No	25c	200$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes	76c	200$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed No	24c	199.97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.98	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No	24c	193.12$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.77	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x217f…4ee5backed Yes	35c	190.34$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.06	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	18c	180$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	119	15.1%18 W · 101 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No	45c	179.99$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.4	155	54.8%85 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Yes	24c	173.38$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.61	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	24c	167$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.92	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes	75c	163.22$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.42	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?this page
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14?No won
Will Liverpool vs. Fulham end in a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event