Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18cd715133ac4ddb7764b1750c3d40437c3fc13fcfdd0c6196f18646b99e4ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 4,629$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.69 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 60c | 3,660$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.62 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 26c | 2,305$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 8c | 1,408$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 75c | 1,079$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Yes | 67c | 1,042$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 16c | 835.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 580$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…efeebacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 20c | 432.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…fab0backed Yes | 72c | 415.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Yes | 78c | 247$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 18c | 222.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 15c | 214.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 15c | 199.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 126.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes | 80c | 102.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 50c | 99.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 16c | 99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 29c | 87.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…34c7backed Yes | 58c | 86.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 71c | 82.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a719backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…a285backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 54.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 34c | 43.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…d019backed Yes | 26c | 40.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…f444backed Yes | 76c | 37.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 45c | 27.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes | 72c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…6857backed Yes | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.