TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32b2…841c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST2725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$524.43
Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$214.57
Will Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$239.8
Will Aston Villa vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$341.37
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$92.25
Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$122.91
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$345.5
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+426.3%+$594.94
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$410.34
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+106.5%+$165
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$147.38
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+100%+$1,247.5
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$115.66
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$83.19
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$102.36
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$315
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$132.14
Will Ipswich vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$399.94
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+340.2%+$2,656.24
Will West Ham win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$141.03
Will Fulham win on 2024-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+29.4%+$8
Will Brentford win on 2024-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$365
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST1811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60.04
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+539.7%+$789.55
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$166.69
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$415
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$653
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$68.87
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$80
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$105
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$868.07
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$102.11
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$160
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$11.29
Chiefs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$268.84
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+334.6%+$964.62
Raiders vs. Dolphinsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$70.81
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$119.64
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$443.71
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$217.42
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$936.21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.38
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$38.42
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.99
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,642.94
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.86
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,877.64
Benin vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200.2
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,418Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25.4%+$360.5
Will France beat Italy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$41.23
Will Germany beat Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$1,071
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$109.88
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$16.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Stuttgart?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$363.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.