NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1620358251a2c9802faafd655dfd2d3bb889350f31bc9a04d8effd6b4275f806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Jaguars, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jaguars | 47c | 17,400$8,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,195.98 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 52c | 13,566$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,453.35 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Raiders | 52c | 8,492$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.46 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raiders | 74c | 7,895$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.63 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Jaguars | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Jaguars | 46c | 4,374$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.31 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Raiders | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Jaguars | 50c | 3,146$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.9 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Raiders | 57c | 3,093$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Jaguars | 45c | 3,093$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Jaguars | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raiders | 52c | 2,210$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.58 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Jaguars | 38c | 2,178$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.68 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Jaguars | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Jaguars | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Jaguars | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Raiders | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Raiders | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Jaguars | 45c | 1,983$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.45 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Jaguars | 27c | 1,823$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Jaguars | 29c | 1,707$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Raiders | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.31 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Jaguars | 35c | 1,466$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.66 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jaguars | 23c | 1,345$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.59 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Jaguars | 48c | 1,339$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.98 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Raiders | 48c | 1,307$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.47 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Jaguars | 6c | 1,194$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Jaguars | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.64 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Jaguars | 45c | 1,056$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Raiders | 56c | 1,055$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jaguars | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.29 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Jaguars | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Jaguars | 18c | 926.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.69 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Jaguars | 43c | 915.71$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raiders | 60c | 864.84$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.29 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3af…bbd7backed Jaguars | 53c | 839.82$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raiders | 59c | 815.45$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.03 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Jaguars | 47c | 748.82$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…1f5bbacked Jaguars | 49c | 714.42$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jaguars | 42c | 700.18$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Jaguars | 46c | 657.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Jaguars | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…ad06backed Raiders | 53c | 641.51$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Jaguars | 54c | 638.48$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Jaguars | 32c | 600$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Raiders | 56c | 594.98$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.79 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Jaguars | 45c | 591.31$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jaguars | 4c | 577.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…fcc7backed Jaguars | 48c | 566.04$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…c085backed Raiders | 52c | 566$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Jaguars | 27c | 555.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Raiders | 56c | 550.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Raiders | 60c | 518.37$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Raiders | 65c | 503.36$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.21 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raiders | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Raiders | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.37 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Raiders | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jaguars | 44c | 484.52$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked Raiders | 71c | 461.56$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Jaguars | 45c | 446.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Raiders | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2594…ea50backed Jaguars | 48c | 445$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…df99backed Raiders | 52c | 444.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Raiders | 58c | 435.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.98 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Raiders | 53c | 426.87$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Jaguars | 51c | 402.06$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…bc81backed Raiders | 52c | 400.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Jaguars | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…920ebacked Jaguars | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Raiders | 61c | 390$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Raiders | 72c | 380$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Jaguars | 45c | 364.51$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Raiders | 51c | 352.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Jaguars | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Raiders | 55c | 337$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Raiders | 53c | 320.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raiders | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Raiders | 78c | 317.47$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Raiders | 56c | 315.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Raiders | 57c | 310.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…c402backed Jaguars | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…9d76backed Raiders | 53c | 283.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Raiders | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Raiders | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Raiders | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Raiders | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Jaguars | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…9395backed Raiders | 71c | 246.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raiders | 53c | 245$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…359abacked Raiders | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…7c68backed Jaguars | 47c | 237.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…f704backed Jaguars | 45c | 227$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Jaguars | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Jaguars | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Raiders | 74c | 219$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Jaguars | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Raiders | 78c | 215.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jaguars | 44c | 208.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Jaguars | 55c | 207.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…a23abacked Raiders | 79c | 202.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.