Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59c8249c103cd7c5533ddc06e0423f048d39037dbf6890e29874f6974b8b9714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 60c | 28,869$17,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,300.4 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 43c | 24,196$10,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,685.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 65c | 8,429$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 35c | 8,157$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.26 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 47c | 8,112$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.54 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 5,215$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.46 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 67c | 4,901$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.35 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,941$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.83 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed Yes | 35c | 2,800$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 2c | 2,730$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 65c | 2,494$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.01 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.28 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 65c | 1,400$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.99 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,308$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.27 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 64c | 1,101$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 1,025$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.76 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed No | 64c | 893.03$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 59c | 866.55$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.11 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 34c | 800.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.87 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 65c | 759.49$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.67 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…987abacked Yes | 27c | 733.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 11c | 599.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.99 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 65c | 434.62$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 33c | 367.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.35 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 32c | 317.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 32c | 315.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.72 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 33c | 301.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 238.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed No | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 8c | 214.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 35c | 209$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 36c | 206.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…b909backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…c599backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed No | 65c | 191$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed No | 7c | 180.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 20c | 147.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 36c | 145$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…f2f3backed Yes | 29c | 118.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…4ee5backed Yes | 35c | 98.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…a368backed Yes | 37c | 94.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…c0ffbacked No | 64c | 94.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3c…45d3backed Yes | 37c | 77.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…f660backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…80d9backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…a285backed Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed No | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…a1f9backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…4c30backed Yes | 37c | 42.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…0797backed No | 64c | 42.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…40b6backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 64c | 41.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…761fbacked Yes | 37c | 40.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…fbeabacked No | 65c | 40.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe614…8f1cbacked Yes | 37c | 39.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a3…095abacked No | 64c | 36.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…e993backed No | 64c | 35.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…09adbacked Yes | 36c | 35.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…ef72backed Yes | 36c | 35.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…c5b4backed No | 64c | 34.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…e561backed No | 64c | 34.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…9bb8backed No | 63c | 34.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 56c | 33.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…5b34backed No | 63c | 32.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa5…d7e2backed Yes | 35c | 32.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87c…74e7backed No | 64c | 32.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…3b0cbacked Yes | 37c | 32.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…687fbacked No | 65c | 32.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafb5…91fdbacked No | 64c | 32.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…9331backed Yes | 36c | 32.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…5079backed Yes | 35c | 32.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…3c45backed Yes | 36c | 31.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…2ee9backed No | 65c | 31.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 36c | 31.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…daa4backed No | 64c | 31.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…6e46backed Yes | 36c | 31.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-14?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.