TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No75c22,560$16,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,652.9911657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes24c12,666$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.045959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes37c9,552$3,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes31c3,747$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.6638649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes31c2,675$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.5518740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.958646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No50c2,495$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.52725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd889…cf51backed No71c2,174$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.11366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes29c2,014$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.0140640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72070%0 W · 7 L-4.3wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc11b…9384backed No71c1,995$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…cc0fbacked Yes29c1,995$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed No70c1,920$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5765141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No31c1,864$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.7837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No70c1,800$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes30c1,800$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No67c1,763$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.2679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes25c1,414$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35818433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed No40c1,160$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.355653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb21…8145backed Yes76c1,035$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7905550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31014659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes36c724.35$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8866031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Yes72c555.83$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Yes31c546.03$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.272330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid+379.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No3c391.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.137839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No70c332.95$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8817143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No25c325.61$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24019336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf6e…632fbacked No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712065%13 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No68c258.08$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x471b…d632backed No70c250.89$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes42c239.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed Yes21c233.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503729.7%11 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+91.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked No65c223.78$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.475429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…947bbacked No72c204.79$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+64%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Yes28c198.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.744932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes27c186.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No70c176.41$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9217945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3929238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No22c127.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes31c109.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.792330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x682a…4b62backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a7…22ccbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d4…83bbbacked Yes31c89.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6650%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f9…0094backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed No70c78.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573040%12 W · 18 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes30c76.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.041369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+62.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No70c74.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.37967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4292…9cd8backed Yes43c70.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed No57c69.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.822123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0327…5e15backed No59c69.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…5bb2backed Yes31c65.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908d…b6aebacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8e…eec7backed No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+90.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dde…91b2backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No48c49.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9411915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes25c44.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4614062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes47c44.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.94434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b502backed Yes61c42.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+92.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c9…2663backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8744…8f31backed Yes52c37.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked No72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes75c34.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.011050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No36c33.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No70c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.77968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7815461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc288…7d4fbacked No54c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c1…a7cbbacked No72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa22d…ea45backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd754…6747backed Yes72c19.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdd1…78f8backed No71c14.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.