TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9797…4e3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST5371.7%38 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Nets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+25%+$6.25
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+46%+$16.11
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+39.3%+$11.78
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+27.1%+$6.77
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+25.3%+$5.06
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+32.5%+$4.87
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+71.6%+$14.32
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+25.4%+$6.34
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+59.5%+$26.75
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+41.4%+$10.35
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+48.1%+$12.02
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST3961.5%24 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+25.3%+$6.33
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+66.7%+$10
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+38.4%+$9.6
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+25%+$2.5
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+36%+$10.79
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+41.4%+$10.35
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+67.5%+$6.75
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+35.7%+$8.93
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$19.03
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Predators vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+37%+$9.25
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST2387%20 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+27.4%+$4.11
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Colts vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+49.3%+$17.24
Steelers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Patriots vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+34.8%+$12.2
Bengals vs. Titansbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+32.7%+$8.18
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+51.5%+$10.31
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+38.6%+$13.52
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+37%+$11.1
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+42.9%+$12.87
Raiders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+32.4%+$14.57
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+44.6%+$15.6
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+38.3%+$17.21
49ers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+40.8%+$6.13
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$341.06
Will Leicester vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Will West Ham vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Brighton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$11.68
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Will Wolves win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Will Leicester vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37%+$5.55
Will Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+25%+$3.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2024, EST1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick71cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+53.8%+$8.08
South Alabama vs. Western Michiganbacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Navy vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Air Force vs. San Diego Statebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+48.2%+$9.64
Arizona State vs. Arizonabacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Pittsburgh vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Illinois vs. Northwesternbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$280.98
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$37.67
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$7.28
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+45.1%+$488.76
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.9
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$29.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.85
Iran strike on Israel before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Israel military strike against Iran in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Israel military action against Yemen before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+170.3%+$40.83
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Iran military response before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+34.1%+$28.55
Israel military action against Iran in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$29.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick76cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2024, EST875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Will the match between Club Brugge and Sporting CP end as a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+35.4%+$8.85
Will the match between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+37%+$9.25
Will the match between Bayer Leverkusen and Inter Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+37%+$9.25
Will the match between Atalanta and Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+35.5%+$6.37
Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Celtic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+43.7%+$15.31
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Rakhmonov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+29.9%+$10.46
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+30.6%+$10.72
Landwehr vs. Choibacked Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.39
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+56.3%+$8.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.5%+$85.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA Galaxy win the MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Republicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.